November 3 is just five weeks from today (9/29), with early voting already underway in some states and several more jumping in within the next seven days.
Here are the latest Real Clear Politics polling averages:
Texas Senate: Talarico (D) +2.9
Ohio Senate: Brown (D) + 3.7
Michigan: El-Sayed (D) +3.3
Iowa: Turek (D) +0.5
Maine: Jackson (D) +0.9
New Hampshire: Pappas (D) +6.4
Alaska: Peltola (D) +2.3
Georgia: Ossoff (D) +8.0
North Carolina: Cooper (D) +8.6
Generic Congressional Vote: Dems +8.7
Might be a good time for predictions. I say Dems end up with between 230 and 233 House seats.
Still very unsure about the Senate. The above numbers bode well for Dems, but several polls are within the margin of error. I think the prediction markets might be more reliable at this point. (Polymarket says 62% chance Dems take the Senate).
233 house seats no I saw 255 house seats and 59 senate seats betting markets are telling me so. Biggest blue wave in 150 years. I would bet every penny I got on dems because of betting markets right now. Who is in?
Might be a good time for predictions. I say Dems end up with between 230 and 233 House seats.
Still very unsure about the Senate. The above numbers bode well for Dems, but several polls are within the margin of error. I think the prediction markets might be more reliable at this point. (Polymarket says 62% chance Dems take the Senate).
House is in the bag. I'm still leery of getting too amped up about the Senate. Damn near need an inside straight to pull it off.
Not only is the house in the bag the dems may flip 67 seats or more. I think its the biggest blue wave in history. I am thinking generic ballot
Dems 69
Repubs 31
Seems about right we will never ever see a wave like this again
Might be a good time for predictions. I say Dems end up with between 230 and 233 House seats.
Still very unsure about the Senate. The above numbers bode well for Dems, but several polls are within the margin of error. I think the prediction markets might be more reliable at this point. (Polymarket says 62% chance Dems take the Senate).
House is in the bag. I'm still leery of getting too amped up about the Senate. Damn near need an inside straight to pull it off.
Not only is the house in the bag the dems may flip 67 seats or more. I think its the biggest blue wave in history. I am thinking generic ballot
Dems 69
Repubs 31
Seems about right we will never ever see a wave like this again
Well I guess only 65 house seats but the senate for sure as mark says betting markets say the dems have it. Its over dems sweep everything per betting markets. Game, set, match. Its over.
There was a time early in the fall when Democrats believed they could make big gains in deep red states like Florida and Texas. They may yet win the Texas Senate race, but the districts they were targeting earlier in many cases have proved to be a will-o'-the-wisp.
In two of those districts, Democrats are pulling out and giving up. "The main Democratic super PAC charged with electing House Democrats, House Majority PAC, is cutting its ad spend in two districts — Colorado’s Third and Florida’s 7th, according to the ad tracking firm Adpact," reports The New York Sun. Trump carried the district by 10 and 12 points, respectively.
Center for Politics (Sabato) at UVa has just moved eleven (11) House races toward Dems.
The trend for the last several weeks is clear; nothing is moving the other way. Dems have the momentum.
Boy do they i probably wont even vote now the wave is just too big i am thinking maybe even 60 seats in the senate for the dems? Could even be more.
@arioznahoosier4554 the only people i see voting are 80 years old. who do they prefer?
Polymarket now has Talarico up in Texas 62-39. On August 11, it was even money.
Trends. They're horrible for MAGA.
Internal Dem polls have him down 1…which means 5
Nope talarico is a sure thing i bet every penny i got on him betting markets say so. The blue wave is so massive it cannot be stopped. Just look at the betting markets they are never wrong.
My guess
Talarico 52
Paxton 43
Just an all out rout
Somebody check this guy into a mental hospital he is 100% winning texas betting markets say so. Its over paxton has already lost. Big money is betting on talarico.
@big-ryan are you? you're posting odds of midterms daily hoping people who support full term abortions and terrorists win? look in the mirror you weirdo. fing freak of a human
I’m posting odds and poll results frequently because the midterms are here and it’s the biggest news story. If you don’t like the thread or my posts, don’t read them.
The poster you’re defending is shouting at clouds. He’s responding to arguments no one is making and is unable to spell the name of the state he lives in.
Maybe you and he could get a two-for-one special at the local shrink. You’re both nuts.
@big-ryan no you're a beta vanilla weirdo without an ounce of personality secretly giddy hoping terrorists win election. you might as well be 80 in a dress.
One more thing @bar-down. I don’t support candidates who advocate for full term abortions or terrorism, and you’re a lying sack of shit for claiming that I do.
You’re disgusting. And batshit crazy.
I would also bet heavily on bottoms she is easily going to win per the betting markets. Its basically a sure thing.
@arioznahoosier4554 i don't understand what's happening with these @s who are you talking to?