Sounds like a lot of fraud going on down there.
Turnout is high. This will be close.
@dbmhoosier Blah blah blah whenever things don't go the way I want, it means someone cheated, blah blah blah.
Your schtick gets old, man. Sometimes, you just lose.
Am I the only one who finds it strange it takes so long to get the results from an election in a country that only uses electronic voting machines? Shouldn't the results in each polling station be tabulated within a fraction of a millisecond? Where is the bottleneck?
@dbmhoosier Blah blah blah whenever things don't go the way I want, it means someone cheated, blah blah blah.
Your schtick gets old, man. Sometimes, you just lose.
Stolen.
https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/2114505715784298566
https://twitter.com/NDRepublicans/status/2114510310363025723
@dbmhoosier The problem, of course, is that none of that is true. Both candidates asked for hours to be extended, Lula because of failed public transport, Bolsonaro because of rain. Both requests would have favored areas friendly to that particular candidate. Rather than favor one or the other, the courts extended hours nationwide. Sorry, but your guy lost fair and square.
@dbmhoosier Blah blah blah whenever things don't go the way I want, it means someone cheated, blah blah blah.
Your schtick gets old, man. Sometimes, you just lose.
Stolen.
https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/2114505715784298566
https://twitter.com/NDRepublicans/status/2114510310363025723
You may be the most gullible person I've ever known. Well, sorta known. Why is it you never actually try to verify the truth behind what your Twitter Twits tweet?
Haven't followed the late drama, but everyone on here is telling me that prediction markets are accurate. I think some of these so-called Dem wins are going to be in jeopardy...
Two Hours on Kalshi
On Kalshi, Bolsonaro "traded at 80%+ for two days," Michael McDonough wrote on X, before "Lula went from 20% to 70% and Bolsonaro collapsed to 31%, on the heaviest volume of the market's life." Polymarket's Brazil election market, which drew more than $249 million in total volume, has since resolved in Lula's favor. Prediction markets are banned in Brazil itself.
Runoff polls had given Bolsonaro only about 51% of the vote, according to a Rio Times tally, a far narrower edge than the markets showed. The outlet also found the order book on Polymarket was thin enough that about $30,000 of selling would have cut five points from Bolsonaro's price at 5:15 p.m. ET, and that prices moved 30 to 40 minutes ahead of the visible count.
Wrong, or One in Five?
Joe Weisenthal asked whether this was "shaping up to be one of the biggest prediction market whiffs of all time." Harry Crane replied, "First time a 4-1 shot has ever won in the history of betting?"
Nic Carter, who had noted that the market "was 80/20 Bolso/Lula earlier today," later asked whether the upset belonged in the category of "normal variance that happens one in every five times."
By the way, if any election caused our market to collapse by 25%, there would be mass chaos. Lula will do just great for the economy tho...
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/26/brazil-lula-win-presidential-election-runoff-vote.html
- Markets were caught off guard by Lula’s win. The iShares MSCI Brazil ETF fell 25% in premarket trading on Monday.
Lol. I didn't win so must be stolen
No wonder maga loves their morons
Fuzzy math
Here in the US, we rarely experience runoffs in general elections for federal office, it's usually primary elections where runoff turnout drops because voters can't be assed with a second round of picking who will represent a party. I reckon it's not so unusual to see a 4% increase in turnout for a runoff in a presidential general election.
A good friend will bail you out of jail, but your best friend will be sitting next to you in the cell saying "that was f***ing awesome"
"Grok, before yesterday how many times had the winner of the 1st round of Brazilian Presidential elections lost the runoff?"
Zero times.
Before the recent election, every single runoff in Brazilian presidential election history was won by the candidate who had placed first in the initial round of voting.