https://twitter.com/itsAntWright/status/2100997265796087925?s=20
I am not familiar with his work, but he has IU finishing 12th in the Big Ten. We'll find out this week if Sam Alexis will be eligible to play (right now, no). But I am sure him picking IU 12th will inspire some rational responses in the fan base.
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Utterly ridiculous. We have as much talent as anyone outside of maybe the top 2.
No 1 is familiar with his work. Speaks for itself. Just another guy that can pass noxious fumes.
Well, we finished 10th last year, and are far more talented.
So dropping to 12 seems reasonable. 🙄
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Evan Miya is well regarded within the basketball analytics space. That said, I'm very surprised by our low valuation. High 30s I could see happening, but in the 50s? I hope his algorithm is wrong.
On paper it seems we could be worse than last year and still easily finish in the top half of the league, due to our schedule.
Its a listing of where his analytics have each B10 team, not a predicted order of finish in the B10, or any sort of wins prediction. IU, by virtue of its fairly light schedule, could have a 50ish ranking, and still finish comfortably in the top half of the league and in the NCAAs. In fact, I wonder if IU's lighter schedule leads to part of this ranking for Miya?
The Big Ten is going to be pretty competitively deep this year. I think a couple games could swing order of finish pretty dramatically.
It is a distinction, yeah.ts a listing of where his analytics have each B10 team,
But I thought that's what we were clowning on him for.
An entirely new team ranked highly in the portal transfer rankings, some good Frosh, a decent soph returnee, yet 12 of 18?
And at the end, you are what your record says you are.
If anybody wants to make a wager his analytics have us in the right ranking, for the end of the season, I'll give some odds? Not record, if someone thinks they can also predict schedule strength too, before any games are played... We could use any independent 'total strength' metric. I'll take 'above 50' and give 2 to 1, for 100 bucks. (Three or four wagers max though.)
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I thought 3 to 2 were reasonable odds, but didn't want to be called a p#### .. And then suddenly realized MIKE WOODSON could get in the 40s with this team.
But then I remembered some of our overall metric rank under Woodson and realized he could not... So probably being overly generous with the odds.
(Could lay it off against me, and clean up in the long run, but that's OK. This year isn't the long run. We get something done. )
Ya I noticed how highly regarded all the posters on here held him. Maybe it's analytics in general.
https://twitter.com/itsAntWright/status/2100997265796087925?s=20
I am not familiar with his work, but he has IU finishing 12th in the Big Ten. We'll find out this week if Sam Alexis will be eligible to play (right now, no). But I am sure him picking IU 12th will inspire some rational responses in the fan base.
If this IU team is as good as the portal rankings claim it is it should be top 4 at worst. The schedule is not that hard either.
If Iowa is #47 and we are #51, that's based on his modeling of coaching. Don't know if he factors that in, haven't read about his methods. But how else do you get that result? Because on paper, we have the stronger roster.
@openwheel A day or so later, it doesn't really bother me. Might even agree with it to a certain extent. We have more high major guys on this team, to be certain. And there's a sense of comfort that comes from that. But we don't have anyone as good as Lamar Wilkerson. And outside Sherrell, I'd contend we don't have anyone as good as Tucker was. So, just assuming we're going to be a top 30 level team, because the team is comprised with more high major guys, probably isn't a great approach.
I do think outside Lamar's position, we're better, and deeper at all other positions. So we should be better than last year's team. But will they all gel enough to allow them to make the big jump up to being a top 20-30 team? I think that requires something that is probably difficult for a guy like Miya to quantify. So he's seeing a decent roster, but one that's lacking any obvious, All B10, NBA level guys. And we have the same coach of a team that stumbled down the stretch last year... and certainly didn't "coach up" the roster he had.
Having said all this, I think finishing top 30 or so in these analytics measurements like Miya's, and making the NCAA easily, should be DeVries mandate, THIS year. So... I can see how a numbers nerd could rate IU where he did. But I don't think that's where we should be, or should end up. As that will imply a pretty poor overall coaching job, by DeVries.
That's gonna be a bit scary, if you're right. And don't misread, I think Tucker was good.And outside Sherrell, I'd contend we don't have anyone as good as Tucker was.
@openwheel Who do you think will be better than Tucker was, other than Sherrell?
Burton is a likely candidate... He's shown he can score at this level. But he isn't a great facilitator. And he doesn't guard or rebound well. Tucker was a solid, all around player, at IU. Not the explosive scorer that Burton is. But he ended up being one of our better defenders and rebounders, and also was key in helping get Lamar the ball.
Lindsay and/or Mustaf... could be. I think both are solid. Tucker ended up being a tick better than just solid, at IU. But maybe one of these guys will blossom and become a good all around performer for IU.
Harris... nah.. Tucker would have played a ton for Duke.
Yiggy... hard comparison, he's a completely different type of player. Huge, should be impactful for us at the 5. But he won't likely average as many points or assists as Tucker. And I doubt he'll be able to guard anyone other than the other teams 5 man.
Sisley.. hope so! But nothing in his past indicates he'll make that big of a leap.
I think we can be a very solid team this year, and not have anyone other than Sherrell, be better than Tucker was.