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TN-7 Special Election

UncleMark
(@unclemark)
Famed Member

The Dem challenger is leading with about half the vote in. I have no idea if she has a shot at winning or not (doubtful), but the fact that this race is even close should give the Pubs pause.

 

https://www.cnn.com/2025/12/02/politics/tennessee-special-election-aftyn-behn-van-epps


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Topic starter Posted : 12/02/2025 9:49 pm
Arthur Dent's avatar
(@arthur-dent)
Noble Member

Dang, I was just coming to start a thread. Both the incumbent and Trump have won this by 20%. This certainly looks far closer than that.

I was watching live updates below, Republican up .3 with 58%

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/12/02/us/elections/results-tennessee-us-house-7-special.html


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Posted : 12/02/2025 9:55 pm
UncleMark
(@unclemark)
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Behn is a babe.

IMG 7526 copy


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Topic starter Posted : 12/02/2025 9:58 pm
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Arthur Dent's avatar
(@arthur-dent)
Noble Member

It is up to 4%. In redistricting places like Indiana they are taking +20 districts down to +12 to take the two D districts. If the Democrats show they could have won a +12, what will that mean for redistricting?  Indiana could go to 3 or 4 D seats in such a scenario.


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Posted : 12/02/2025 10:08 pm
UncleMark
(@unclemark)
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Posted by: @arthur-dent

It is up to 4%. In redistricting places like Indiana they are taking +20 districts down to +12 to take the two D districts. If the Democrats show they could have won a +12, what will that mean for redistricting?  Indiana could go to 3 or 4 D seats in such a scenario.

Maybe I'm naive, but I'm not convinced Indiana will do the redistricting thing.

 


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Topic starter Posted : 12/02/2025 10:12 pm
snarlcakes's avatar
(@snarlcakes)
Noble Member

https://twitter.com/billsperos/status/1996034506659348651?s=46

Polymarkets called it about an hour ago for the GOP. 


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Posted : 12/02/2025 10:46 pm
UncleMark
(@unclemark)
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Posted by: @snarlcakes

https://twitter.com/billsperos/status/1996034506659348651?s=46

Polymarkets called it about an hour ago for the GOP. 

So did the Kommie channel. Point being it was far closer than a Trump +22 district should be. 

 


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Topic starter Posted : 12/02/2025 10:55 pm
Arthur Dent's avatar
(@arthur-dent)
Noble Member

Looks like it will be about +9. If that happens everywhere next year, losing 11 points ... .

 


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Posted : 12/02/2025 11:01 pm
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All4You's avatar
(@all4you)
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Meh, the guy who previously held the seat took 59% of the vote in 2024, this was a special election mid term and the new guy still took 54% against an onslaught of DNC cash infusion. I would say it's premature to point to this race as some kind of bellwether. 


A good friend will bail you out of jail, but your best friend will be sitting next to you in the cell saying "that was f***ing awesome"

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Posted : 12/03/2025 7:09 am
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Arthur Dent's avatar
(@arthur-dent)
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Posted by: @all4you

Meh, the guy who previously held the seat took 59% of the vote in 2024, this was a special election mid term and the new guy still took 54% against an onslaught of DNC cash infusion. I would say it's premature to point to this race as some kind of bellwether. 

by itself it means little. Add in the Ds ran ahead in almost every race, in some states almost every county, in November and it adds to the picture.

 


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Posted : 12/03/2025 8:07 am
Spartans9312's avatar
(@spartans9312)
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Posted by: @arthur-dent

It is up to 4%. In redistricting places like Indiana they are taking +20 districts down to +12 to take the two D districts. If the Democrats show they could have won a +12, what will that mean for redistricting?  Indiana could go to 3 or 4 D seats in such a scenario.

 

The proposed Indiana map now looks like Illinois. It’s horseshit but the Democrats complained about the previous clean map as well. 

 


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Posted : 12/03/2025 8:26 am
HurryingHoosiers
(@hurryinghoosiers)
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Posted by: @spartans9312

Posted by: @arthur-dent

It is up to 4%. In redistricting places like Indiana they are taking +20 districts down to +12 to take the two D districts. If the Democrats show they could have won a +12, what will that mean for redistricting?  Indiana could go to 3 or 4 D seats in such a scenario.

 

The proposed Indiana map now looks like Illinois. It’s horseshit but the Democrats complained about the previous clean map as well. 

 

probably because it wasn't a clean map.. just cleaner than what they are now proposing.

 


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Posted : 12/03/2025 12:46 pm
Spartans9312's avatar
(@spartans9312)
Noble Member

Posted by: @hurryinghoosiers

Posted by: @spartans9312

Posted by: @arthur-dent

It is up to 4%. In redistricting places like Indiana they are taking +20 districts down to +12 to take the two D districts. If the Democrats show they could have won a +12, what will that mean for redistricting?  Indiana could go to 3 or 4 D seats in such a scenario.

 

The proposed Indiana map now looks like Illinois. It’s horseshit but the Democrats complained about the previous clean map as well. 

 

probably because it wasn't a clean map.. just cleaner than what they are now proposing.

 

 

Define clean in this context…if you are able?

 


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Posted : 12/03/2025 1:02 pm
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HurryingHoosiers
(@hurryinghoosiers)
Noble Member

Posted by: @spartans9312

Posted by: @hurryinghoosiers

Posted by: @spartans9312

Posted by: @arthur-dent

It is up to 4%. In redistricting places like Indiana they are taking +20 districts down to +12 to take the two D districts. If the Democrats show they could have won a +12, what will that mean for redistricting?  Indiana could go to 3 or 4 D seats in such a scenario.

 

The proposed Indiana map now looks like Illinois. It’s horseshit but the Democrats complained about the previous clean map as well. 

 

probably because it wasn't a clean map.. just cleaner than what they are now proposing.

 

 

Define clean in this context…if you are able?

 

ask without being an asshole first.

 


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Posted : 12/03/2025 3:56 pm
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