St Anselm has a poll of NH out on the Republican side, Vance is running away with it at 56%. On the Democratic side, Newsome and Buttigieg are tied at 23.
Early states still have a stronger share of power in who gets nominated. But there is an incredibly long way to go. A real battle for Democrats, will South Carolina stay up in the top, or will Iowa revert back? If Iowa moves back, they like progressives so AOC could do better. If not, she would struggle in the first two.
St Anselm has a poll of NH out on the Republican side, Vance is running away with it at 56%. On the Democratic side, Newsome and Buttigieg are tied at 23.
Early states still have a stronger share of power in who gets nominated. But there is an incredibly long way to go. A real battle for Democrats, will South Carolina stay up in the top, or will Iowa revert back? If Iowa moves back, they like progressives so AOC could do better. If not, she would struggle in the first two.
Gross.
Two big IF's.
If South Carolina is the first state and if Wes Moore decides to run (he recently said he won't).
You have to like his odds of winning SC, which would put him in pole position.
@carramrod on those ifs, neither Iowa nor South Carolina are good for Beshear. He has to start living in NH. Their independent streak may suit him well but he has a lot of ground to make up. A lot of time but I think the Democrats will have a very crowded field. The more noise, the harder it is to break through
@mcm666 the thing is, right now it is all just name recognition,(except for Harris, that feels like a repudiation). It can and will change.
Pritzker having a measurable percentage is very interesting to me. That may indicate he's had a stealth ground game in NH. He could afford one.
@mcm666 in the age of GLP-1’s you have to put in a lot of effort to be as obese as Pritzker still is.
@arthur-dent I hate him.
I am not familiar with Illinois politics, but what he said to ight quoted in the other thread rules him out for me.
@arthur-dent yup. his comments tonight were awful. there's nothing redeeming about pritzker.
St Anselm has a poll of NH out on the Republican side, Vance is running away with it at 56%. On the Democratic side, Newsome and Buttigieg are tied at 23.
Early states still have a stronger share of power in who gets nominated. But there is an incredibly long way to go. A real battle for Democrats, will South Carolina stay up in the top, or will Iowa revert back? If Iowa moves back, they like progressives so AOC could do better. If not, she would struggle in the first two.
Newsom is the first Democrat to figure out the correct way to attack Trump. Still don't want him to be the nominee.
I like Pete, but I'm not sure he's a viable national candidate at this point.
@goat I am not saying too much until I hear actual policy proposals. That said, I think both will face stronger than normal headwinds in a general.
That said, electability is way down my list, somewhere near zodiac sign. I have a Cleveland Browns relationship with winning elections.
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