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Economy getting hot?

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dbmhoosier
(@dbmhoosier)
Famed Member

Posted by: @goat

Posted by: @unclemark

Posted by: @big-ryan

Economic growth was weaker than expected in the second quarter while inflation in June held well above the Fed's goal, the Commerce Department reported Thursday.

U.S. economy slowed to 1.5% growth rate in Q2; June core inflation at 3.3%

And yet the stock market just keeps climbing... I don't understand how this stuff works, obviously. With a sluggish economy and an uncertain outlook with war and oil and political upheaval, it make no sense to me. 


man GIF

My puny little portfolio has been bumping up against a nice round milestone figure for months and just hit it today.

 

(Warning: Hyperbole Incoming.)

The stock market is entirely divorced from economic production. People who invest in stocks aren't gambling that the companies they are investing in are going to increase production and drive economic growth. They are gambling that the shares they are buying will be sellable at a higher price in the future.

Investing in stocks is like collecting baseball cards.

 

Not true.  Stocks have always gone way up in value if you hold long enough.  Not so for baseball cards.  I have a Ken Griffey Jr card like a 1/1000 I pulled from a Topps pack probably 35 years ago.  Was offered around $300 back then and it's probably worth a 1/10 of that today.

 


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Posted : 08/05/2026 7:28 am
SqueakyClean
(@squeakyclean)
Honorable Member

Posted by: @dbmhoosier

 

Not true.  Stocks have always gone way up in value if you hold long enough.  Not so for baseball cards.  I have a Ken Griffey Jr card like a 1/1000 I pulled from a Topps pack probably 35 years ago.  Was offered around $300 back then and it's probably worth a 1/10 of that today.

 

Stocks don't always stay high forever. Ken Griffey = Sears

 


ReplyQuote
Posted : 08/05/2026 9:45 am
larsIU
(@larsiu)
Noble Member

Posted by: @goat

Posted by: @unclemark

Posted by: @big-ryan

Economic growth was weaker than expected in the second quarter while inflation in June held well above the Fed's goal, the Commerce Department reported Thursday.

U.S. economy slowed to 1.5% growth rate in Q2; June core inflation at 3.3%

And yet the stock market just keeps climbing... I don't understand how this stuff works, obviously. With a sluggish economy and an uncertain outlook with war and oil and political upheaval, it make no sense to me. 


man GIF

My puny little portfolio has been bumping up against a nice round milestone figure for months and just hit it today.

 

(Warning: Hyperbole Incoming.)

The stock market is entirely divorced from economic production. People who invest in stocks aren't gambling that the companies they are investing in are going to increase production and drive economic growth. They are gambling that the shares they are buying will be sellable at a higher price in the future.

Investing in stocks is like collecting baseball cards.

 

It's a perceived value market. Most of the value is real, or it used to be. However, I can't believe the smartest companies in the world are investing the money they're investing without a solid plan and idea what will happen. AGI will happen. What happens after that marketwise, employmentwise, societywise. Those are the real questions. 

 


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Posted : 08/05/2026 9:55 am
Boogie's avatar
(@boogie)
Famed Member

Posted by: @dbmhoosier

Posted by: @goat

Posted by: @unclemark

Posted by: @big-ryan

Economic growth was weaker than expected in the second quarter while inflation in June held well above the Fed's goal, the Commerce Department reported Thursday.

U.S. economy slowed to 1.5% growth rate in Q2; June core inflation at 3.3%

And yet the stock market just keeps climbing... I don't understand how this stuff works, obviously. With a sluggish economy and an uncertain outlook with war and oil and political upheaval, it make no sense to me. 


man GIF

My puny little portfolio has been bumping up against a nice round milestone figure for months and just hit it today.

 

(Warning: Hyperbole Incoming.)

The stock market is entirely divorced from economic production. People who invest in stocks aren't gambling that the companies they are investing in are going to increase production and drive economic growth. They are gambling that the shares they are buying will be sellable at a higher price in the future.

Investing in stocks is like collecting baseball cards.

 

Not true.  Stocks have always gone way up in value if you hold long enough.  Not so for baseball cards.  I have a Ken Griffey Jr card like a 1/1000 I pulled from a Topps pack probably 35 years ago.  Was offered around $300 back then and it's probably worth a 1/10 of that today.

 

 

Get that card graded and it goes up exponentially. 

 


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Posted : 08/05/2026 10:21 am
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snarlcakes's avatar
(@snarlcakes)
Famed Member

Posted by: @bar-down

@goat yep. Exactly.

You're not wrong often, but when you are, you're way wrong.  Chubby 6s are wonderful, soccer sucks, and Trump has been the best Prez since Clinton/Reagan.  

The most important issue was closing the border and stopping the invasion.  Everything else is a distant 2nd. 

 


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Topic starter Posted : 08/05/2026 11:28 am
C Probert's avatar
(@bar-down)
Famed Member

@snarlcakes ha!  the border was indeed very important.  that's why he still has a D


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Posted : 08/05/2026 12:01 pm
JDB's avatar
 JDB
(@jdb)
Famed Member

Posted by: @goat

Investing in stocks is like collecting baseball cards.

 

after spending thousands in the past few months


Why Didnt You Tell Me Shadow And Bone GIF by NETFLIX

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Posted : 08/05/2026 12:37 pm
JDB's avatar
 JDB
(@jdb)
Famed Member

Posted by: @dbmhoosier

Not true.  Stocks have always gone way up in value if you hold long enough.  Not so for baseball cards.  I have a Ken Griffey Jr card like a 1/1000 I pulled from a Topps pack probably 35 years ago.  Was offered around $300 back then and it's probably worth a 1/10 of that today.

 

I call bullshit. Junior cards are going to the moon. Jordans are going out of the galaxy. I bought a graded 1987 Jordan for $400 early this year and the latest are going for $850-$1,000. 


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Posted : 08/05/2026 12:44 pm
JDB's avatar
 JDB
(@jdb)
Famed Member

Posted by: @squeakyclean

Stocks don't always stay high forever. Ken Griffey = Sears

 


James Earl Jones Reaction GIF

Sears was Sammy Sosa. Can't give away his cards now.


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Posted : 08/05/2026 12:46 pm
👍
1
Spartans9312's avatar
(@spartans9312)
Noble Member

https://twitter.com/WillRicci/status/2085081081934664016


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Posted : 08/05/2026 10:17 pm
NPT's avatar
 NPT
(@npt)
Estimable Member

Posted by: @larsiu

hings we could do: 

Raise the SS cap

Single Payor (with AI to diminish administrative bloat). Sorry docs. You're taking a haircut. 

Reduce the deficit so that interest payments on government debt aren't exceeding 6% of GDP. 

 

We almost can't cut spending in any meaningful way outside of the military. Our entire society and economic model is based on getting SS at 62-70 and medicare at 65. those are promises made. Can't rug pull now. No way. 

 

Like I said earlier, the only way out may be through a radical change fueled by AI. The cost of labor will be so cheap that taxing it won't do shit anyway. 

And make people on Medicare who make millions pay the same % of their income for their Medicare premium as someone making $200,000.

 


There are 10 types of people in this world, those who know binary and those who don't.

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Posted : 08/06/2026 7:04 am
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NPT's avatar
 NPT
(@npt)
Estimable Member

Posted by: @aloha-hoosier

Posted by: @bar-down

@aloha-hoosier that’s not new. That’s been around forever. No idea who those posters are now

No, not new, but not that old either. I remember when it happened, just not the year. I think within 10 years or so? Some of the posters are from the old Peegs site and have the same names. Some are from old Peegs and have new names and of course there are new posters. I mostly read there and rarely post, but I have an account with them.

 

I haven't been over there for some time.  Unless it has changed you could read some posts on it unless you were a subscriber or some weird thing like that.  Don't remember the details.

 


There are 10 types of people in this world, those who know binary and those who don't.

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Posted : 08/06/2026 7:23 am
Butch Crawling's avatar
(@big-ryan)
Noble Member

Weakening labor market.  23,000 jobs lost in July. 

July jobs report: US economy shed 23,000 jobs, a sudden reversal


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Posted : 08/07/2026 1:14 pm
Butch Crawling's avatar
(@big-ryan)
Noble Member

"'Friday’s jobs report was not just much weaker-than-expected, it showed that the economy shed jobs during July, which puts the Federal Reserve in a conundrum, since inflation is still elevated and sticky,' said Brent Wilsey, chief investment officer at Wilsey Asset Management."

The only silver lining in this shitty jobs report is that an interest rate hike may not be imminent. 

Treasury yields drop after surprise jobs loss in July


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Posted : 08/07/2026 1:32 pm
dbmhoosier
(@dbmhoosier)
Famed Member

🔥 🔥 🔥 

@ https://twitter.com/i/status/2085782020421255182


ReplyQuote
Posted : 08/07/2026 2:12 pm
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