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Two months 'til the midterms

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Spartans9312's avatar
(@spartans9312)
Noble Member

Posted by: @aloha-hoosier
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Posted by: @spartans9312
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Talarico isn’t winning. Sabato has been a joke

We'll see, but the polls are all trending toward Talarico. That wouldn't be happening if Cornyn had been nominated over the corrupt, possibly criminal, and clearly unlikable Paxton. There are a lot of elected Republicans in Texas that aren't backing him. 

2026 Texas Senate - Paxton vs. Talarico | RealClearPolling

Senate Election Polls 2026 | Latest Polls | RealClearPolling

What about Polymarket instead of Sabado? 2026 Senate No Toss Ups/Polymarket | RealClearPolling

 

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/2102787090849087661

 

Here’s another that isn’t happening 

 


ReplyQuote
Posted : 09/23/2026 7:54 pm
UncleMark
(@unclemark)
Illustrious Member

@goat 

It's still a long shot, but it's no longer a pipe dream. 


ReplyQuote
Posted : 09/23/2026 7:54 pm
Aloha Hoosier's avatar
(@aloha-hoosier)
Famed Member

Posted by: @carramrod
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Posted by: @aloha-hoosier
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Posted by: @co-hoosier
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-- attachment is not available --

This year more than ever, I can’t think of any reason to support a Democrat.  II don’t care how corrupt Paxton might be.   Democrats who support DSA will be worse. 

Fortunately, there are only 120,000 members of the DSA and they sure as hell shouldn't be supported. It should be crystal clear that I'm not supporting DSA or even Democrats. I've been commenting on the stupidity of Republicans for nominating deeply flawed candidates like Paxton over Cornyn (who I voted for during my years as a Texas Resident and would vote for again if possible) and setting up a very possible Democrat victory in Texas. TEXAS, FFS! Jeebus, we have stupid people in the GOP right now and they're the dominate faction. I think their stupidity has really set up a possible (maybe probable) Democrat takeover of the Senate.

 

 

What a fucked up dismissive thing to say. 120k people have donated to the DSA. Republican and Democrat party’s count membership by registrations.

 

So of course the two main parties outpace them. Have you ever donated to a political candidate? I know I haven’t, I’m not a fucking loser.

 

How do socialists hold the mayorships of the three largest cities in the country if there’s only 120K of them? Ever ask yourself that retard?

 

Dismissive of mass illegal immigration as a problem, dismissive of covid precautions that attacked civil liberties, dismissive of the dangers of socialism.

 

You're no one’s conservative. You’re a fucking fraud. 

 

Go vote for Biden again, bitch. 

 

LOL! I initially thought you were COH and was about to respond until I read your disrespectful ignorant and stupid BS response and COH wouldn't type that shit. I've told you dozens of times that I have no desire to converse with you. I don't care about your obsession with me. You're in fact a loser. STFU.

 


This post was modified 2 days ago 2 times by Aloha Hoosier
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Posted : 09/23/2026 7:58 pm
Aloha Hoosier's avatar
(@aloha-hoosier)
Famed Member

Posted by: @co-hoosier
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Posted by: @aloha-hoosier
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. I think their stupidity has really set up a possible (maybe probable) Democrat takeover of the Senate.

 

GOP stupidity cannot ever set up a possible democratic takeover over of the senate.  Only voters can do that.  Voters like you.  

Each of us must establish our own priorities.  

I guess you're not grasping the fact that stupids in the GOP (the obvious suspects) are backing the least likely Republican to win the General Election races. Cornyn would almost certainly win, Paxton has a good chance of losing. That has nothing to do with me. I don't live in any of the states where that's likely to happen with a Senate candidate. That is all about voters like you.

 


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Posted : 09/23/2026 8:03 pm
Aloha Hoosier's avatar
(@aloha-hoosier)
Famed Member

Posted by: @spartans9312
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Here’s another that isn’t happening 

Why do you think you know better than all the polls? In 2020 nearly all the preelection polls showed that Trump would lose the popular vote by 4.5 to 5 percent, and he lost by 4.5 percent. That was no shocker. It would have been a shocker the other way around. There are occasional outliers and that get it wrong, but the aggregate of the polls, like at RCP, is usually pretty accurate. 


This post was modified 2 days ago by Aloha Hoosier
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Posted : 09/23/2026 8:09 pm
CarRamRod's avatar
(@carramrod)
Famed Member

Posted by: @aloha-hoosier
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Posted by: @co-hoosier
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Posted by: @aloha-hoosier
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. I think their stupidity has really set up a possible (maybe probable) Democrat takeover of the Senate.

 

GOP stupidity cannot ever set up a possible democratic takeover over of the senate.  Only voters can do that.  Voters like you.  

Each of us must establish our own priorities.  

I guess you're not grasping the fact that stupids in the GOP (the obvious suspects) are backing the least likely Republican to win the General Election races. Cornyn would almost certainly win, Paxton has a good chance of losing. That has nothing to do with me. I don't live in any of the states where that's likely to happen with a Senate candidate. That is all about voters like you.

 

 

“The usual suspects” is a phrase first popularized by the 1942 film Casablanca.

“The obvious suspects” is a retarded, illiterate bastardization.

You’re voting for a Democrat governor, you vote for Democrat presidents. You’re the problem just as much as the candidates.

 

 


ReplyQuote
Posted : 09/23/2026 8:36 pm
Aloha Hoosier's avatar
(@aloha-hoosier)
Famed Member

@carramrod you just won’t listen. STFU. Your next response to me will be an admission that the reason you’re obsessed with me is that you are in fact gay and that your homosexuality and misogyny are because girls beat you up K-12. Crying will get no sympathy. Carry on.


ReplyQuote
Posted : 09/23/2026 8:58 pm
CO. Hoosier
(@co-hoosier)
Famed Member

Posted by: @aloha-hoosier
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I guess you're not grasping the fact that stupids in the GOP (the obvious suspects) are backing the least likely Republican to win the General Election races.

Paxton won the primary  There  are reasons to prefer him over Talarico that have nothing to do with stupid  

 


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Posted : 09/23/2026 8:59 pm
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Aloha Hoosier's avatar
(@aloha-hoosier)
Famed Member

Posted by: @co-hoosier
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Paxton won the primary  There  are reasons to prefer him over Talarico that have nothing to do with stupid  

Once again, the stupids voted for an extremely flawed candidate in the primary and that has made it more likely the Democrat would win. Democrats, many Independents and a good portion of Republicans won’t vote for Paxton. That wouldn’t happen if Cornyn was the nominee. That’s all I’m saying and the polls indicate it’s accurate.


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Posted : 09/23/2026 9:10 pm
Spartans9312's avatar
(@spartans9312)
Noble Member

Posted by: @aloha-hoosier
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Posted by: @spartans9312
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Here’s another that isn’t happening 

Why do you think you know better than all the polls? In 2020 nearly all the preelection polls showed that Trump would lose the popular vote by 4.5 to 5 percent, and he lost by 4.5 percent. That was no shocker. It would have been a shocker the other way around. There are occasional outliers and that get it wrong, but the aggregate of the polls, like at RCP, is usually pretty accurate. 

 

GOP has a 1.5 million voter advantage in Florida. They turnout at a higher percentage. That poll should be discredited 

 


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Posted : 09/23/2026 9:15 pm
Aloha Hoosier's avatar
(@aloha-hoosier)
Famed Member

Posted by: @spartans9312
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GOP has a 1.5 million voter advantage in Florida. They turnout at a higher percentage. That poll should be discredited 

Trump isn’t on the ballot and his popularity is so abysmal the Democrats in many states are putting him on it in their campaigns. Polls also show Republicans are less enthusiastic and less likely to turnout this year and the reason is partially (primarily) due to Trump’s abysmal popularity ratings. He’s more of an anchor than a help now. Like it or not, things are looking worse for Republicans in 2026 pretty much every day. 

 


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Posted : 09/23/2026 9:26 pm
JDB's avatar
 JDB
(@jdb)
Famed Member

Posted by: @larsiu
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Real Genius

Love Val


Tom Cruise Goose GIF by Top Gun

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Posted : 09/23/2026 9:27 pm
SqueakyClean
(@squeakyclean)
Honorable Member

Posted by: @larsiu
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Also

Real Genius > Weird Science

Yup.  And Weird Science hasn't really aged well.  

 


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Posted : 09/23/2026 10:04 pm
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Twenty's avatar
(@twenty)
Honorable Member

Posted by: @spartans9312
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Posted by: @aloha-hoosier
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Cornyn would win this race. Republican former state lawmaker vows he’ll ‘never’ support Paxton in new ad as Texas Senate race heats up

The GOP stampede away from Trump is growing — including in pretty red districts

Republicans say Democrats are extremists. These Democrats want to convince voters that's not true

Sabato's Crystal Ball moves 3 Senate, 4 gubernatorial races in Democrats' favor

 

Talarico isn’t winning. Sabato has been a joke

 

 

Not sure how or why you can be so absolute about this. It wouldn't exactly be surprising, depends entirely on the electorate that turns out.

We've seen Republicans win statewide Senate elections in Illinois and Massachusetts, and Democrats win them in Indiana and Alabama... All within the last couple decades. You get a national trend along with a poor candidate and it's enough to skew results. 

Cruz beat Beto by like 2 points in 2018, and Cruz doesn't have the baggage of Paxton. 

I don't know what the hell will happen. But I'm not going to be surprised either way. As I've said many times on here, it's about turnout, and going to be difficult to get the low intensity GOP leaner to show up in this climate.

 


This post was modified 2 days ago by Twenty
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Posted : 09/23/2026 10:05 pm
CO. Hoosier
(@co-hoosier)
Famed Member

@aloha-hoosier 

All I’m saying is that each individual votes according to their own priorities. If a Republican will reject Paxton in favor of Talarico, i question who is really being stupid.   


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Posted : 09/23/2026 10:05 pm
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