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snarlcakes's avatar
(@snarlcakes)
Noble Member

Posted by: @squeakyclean

Something to bear in mind is that several wells / refineries attached to the Strait have shut themselves down because they do not have the storage capacity to keep operating with no ships to load into.

So even if the war ends tomorrow, oil prices will not instantly drop back down below $100 a barrel.  Those wells / refineries do not start up instantly.  It will takes months before they can get back up to max operating capacity.

Bottom line:  You are looking at $3.75+ gas until the midterms at least.  The GOP is generally screwed on the economy front come November.

This is a reasonable take and I agree with a lot of it. One nit is I think they still can drive down oil prices before the election if they wrap Iran up by June.  Also, some of the data on the economy is showing it's in pretty good shape, but higher gas prices never gains votes come election time. 

 


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Posted : 04/02/2026 3:35 pm
Spartans9312's avatar
(@spartans9312)
Noble Member

https://twitter.com/FoxNews/status/2039742411052568966


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Posted : 04/02/2026 3:55 pm
Goat
 Goat
(@goat)
Famed Member

Now it seems the President is bragging about committing what is almost certainly a war crime.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/apr/02/trump-warns-tehran-more-to-follow-after-strike-destroys-irans-largest-bridge


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Posted : 04/02/2026 11:48 pm
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UncleMark
(@unclemark)
Famed Member

Posted by: @goat

Now it seems the President is bragging about committing what is almost certainly a war crime.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/apr/02/trump-warns-tehran-more-to-follow-after-strike-destroys-irans-largest-bridge

Trump has no idea what might constitute a war crime, and Pete is like the mad chick at the end of GoT just leveling anything he can reach.  

 


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Posted : 04/03/2026 9:39 am
larsIU
(@larsiu)
Noble Member

Well this isn't good. US Fighter jet shot down over Iran. 

 

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/04/03/world/iran-war-trump-oil#us-fighter-jet-iran


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Posted : 04/03/2026 10:38 am
Mrhighlife's avatar
(@mrhighlife)
Prominent Member

Posted by: @larsiu

Well this isn't good. US Fighter jet shot down over Iran. 

 

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/04/03/world/iran-war-trump-oil#us-fighter-jet-iran

And yet more than a couple posters here...


But it really isn

 


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Posted : 04/03/2026 10:49 am
Spartans9312's avatar
(@spartans9312)
Noble Member

https://twitter.com/axios/status/2040049413029024142


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Posted : 04/03/2026 10:51 am
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Spartans9312's avatar
(@spartans9312)
Noble Member

https://twitter.com/marcthiessen/status/2040056945852178619


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Posted : 04/03/2026 10:53 am
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Aloha Hoosier's avatar
(@aloha-hoosier)
Famed Member

One pilot rescued and search is still on for the other. Appears that Iran doesn't have him/her or they'd be telling the world they did.

One crew member rescued after US F-15 shot down over Iran while search continues for other pilot: report


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Posted : 04/03/2026 12:52 pm
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Arthur Dent's avatar
(@arthur-dent)
Noble Member

What is still missing from this being a war subject to the War Powers Act?


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Posted : 04/03/2026 1:19 pm
Aloha Hoosier's avatar
(@aloha-hoosier)
Famed Member

Haven't had the time to read much today, but here are some for those interested:

No sign of war winding down in Mideast as Friday dawns with strikes across region | AP News

Exclusive: US intelligence assesses Iran maintains significant missile launching capability, sources say | CNN Politics

Hopefully, the sane advisors again talk him out of the insane notion of leaving NATO. Trump says NATO withdrawal under consideration amid Iran tensions | Stars and Stripes


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Posted : 04/03/2026 2:27 pm
HHLurker's avatar
(@hhlurker)
Noble Member

Posted by: @aloha-hoosier

Haven't had the time to read much today, but here are some for those interested:

No sign of war winding down in Mideast as Friday dawns with strikes across region | AP News

Exclusive: US intelligence assesses Iran maintains significant missile launching capability, sources say | CNN Politics

Hopefully, the sane advisors again talk him out of the insane notion of leaving NATO. Trump says NATO withdrawal under consideration amid Iran tensions | Stars and Stripes

Howz bout Trump emigrates to Israel!!!!

 


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Posted : 04/03/2026 3:59 pm
Spartans9312's avatar
(@spartans9312)
Noble Member

https://twitter.com/DrJStrategy/status/2040029898295632377

Good read


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Posted : 04/03/2026 4:55 pm
Arthur Dent's avatar
(@arthur-dent)
Noble Member

@spartans9312 the other takeaway is how terrible it is Iran can blockade all that solar, wind, and nuclear power. 

Oh wait, maybe the Straight doesn't block those so having more of those would be really good. 


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Posted : 04/03/2026 5:01 pm
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Spartans9312's avatar
(@spartans9312)
Noble Member

Posted by: @arthur-dent

@spartans9312 the other takeaway is how terrible it is Iran can blockade all that solar, wind, and nuclear power. 

Oh wait, maybe the Straight doesn't block those so having more of those would be really good. 

 

It’s a good thing Europe doesn’t need oil with all their other energy sources 

 


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Posted : 04/03/2026 5:14 pm
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