Can't imagine that ass whipping did us any favors
You got guts for posting that IU's NCAAT chances are below 90%. I agree with your assessment, but you might meet with some resistance regarding your 50% number.After a big drubbing at Illinois, Indiana tourney chances remain 50%
Metrics aren't emotional, nor do they want a coach to fail because he wasn't the coach they wanted hired.
Right now, the metrics have us in the tournament. Period. Thats just how it is. Every single bracketologist on BracketMatrix has IU not only in but above the last 4 byes, so not even on the true bubble.
I'm not sure what else to tell you, but you do you. Of course IU can play themselves out, there's plenty of games left to do that but they're in right now and don't necessarily need to do anything miraculous to stay there.
After the drubbing at Purdue Indiana's tourney chances increase to 55%.
That's how I see it. I see OSU, Iowa finishing at 11-9 and Indiana and UCLA most likely 10-10, but Indiana would be the better of those 2 at this point, meaning IU could claim the 9th and final bid out of the Big Ten. 10 bids are possible but it depends on other conferences and teams like TCU and whether they pull off a win at Texas Tech, for example. 8 bids are possible. Lots of things still possible. But UCLA looks like they are tanking, and that will help IU even if Indiana loses 2 of 4 remaining.
So 55% chance now. Gotta beat NW.
And by the way, now that someone quoted "bracket matrix", I took a look at that and it is inaccurate. They only have 1 team out of the Mountain West projected in the field and that's just flat dumb.
Also, Miami of Ohio will be in the field as an at large ahead of 9th, 10th Big Ten teams if they lose in the MAC tourney. If Indiana wants to stop worrying about Miami, they better win 3 of 4 remaining.
After the drubbing at Purdue Indiana's tourney chances increase to 55%.
That's how I see it. I see OSU, Iowa finishing at 11-9 and Indiana and UCLA most likely 10-10, but Indiana would be the better of those 2 at this point, meaning IU could claim the 9th and final bid out of the Big Ten. 10 bids are possible but it depends on other conferences and teams like TCU and whether they pull off a win at Texas Tech, for example. 8 bids are possible. Lots of things still possible. But UCLA looks like they are tanking, and that will help IU even if Indiana loses 2 of 4 remaining.
So 55% chance now. Gotta beat NW.
And by the way, now that someone quoted "bracket matrix", I took a look at that and it is inaccurate. They only have 1 team out of the Mountain West projected in the field and that's just flat dumb.
Also, Miami of Ohio will be in the field as an at large ahead of 9th, 10th Big Ten teams if they lose in the MAC tourney. If Indiana wants to stop worrying about Miami, they better win 3 of 4 remaining.
Inaccurate? Its literally the best bracketologists in the country with proven track records of doing this. Its also not a single 'entity' its just an aggregation of the best/top bracketologists.
As of this morning CBS no longer has us in the tourney. Last week we were a 9 seed in their mock
As of this morning CBS no longer has us in the tourney. Last week we were a 9 seed in their mock
Palm is historically pretty bad. I don't think most will drop IU out of the field completely. We've definitely eliminated a lot of wiggle room, though.
In my opinion, IU took a double hit at tourney chances. I had them moving from 50% up to 55% when Cronin threw his own player out of a game. It looked like IU might finish ahead of them.
But then UCLA beat Illinois and of course, IU has lost to what I would have mentioned was going to be a very tough game, against Northwestern. I said before the season that I thought this IU team would resemble a typical NW team. Except Northwestern can play the part a little better head to head.
With the loss, I see IU going down to 40% chance of making the tourney. A win vs MSU would move them back up. But it is unlikely.
Like the boofest of 2015 in the game vs MSU, I see this one potentially bring some negative emotions from fans if they dont find a way to win and regain hope in their post season chances.
Good ... it's deserved. This is one of the oldest rosters in D1--and nearly all are overpaid based on performance--so I see no problem with letting the boo birds fly in AH.Like the boofest of 2015 in the game vs MSU, I see this one potentially bring some negative emotions from fans if they dont find a way to win and regain hope in their post season chances.
I sure as hell hope DD bringing his overrated son to Bloomington for one season didn't factor into the hiring.
Good ... it's deserved. This is one of the oldest rosters in D1--and nearly all are overpaid based on performance--so I see no problem with letting the boo birds fly in AH.Like the boofest of 2015 in the game vs MSU, I see this one potentially bring some negative emotions from fans if they dont find a way to win and regain hope in their post season chances.
I sure as hell hope DD bringing his overrated son to Bloomington for one season didn't factor into the hiring.
I see these guys like kent sterling mad about a missed call but they were just fine with the calls at the end of the wisconsin game. I mean with big ten officials it always comes around both ways. The fact of the matter is you should never be in that situation at home vs a two win team to let them decide it. Missing the tourney by one win or making it by one win isnt going to tell me either way if the program is on the right path. Only next year will tell me that but god is DD boring in a press conference.
If one play defines IU basketball this season, it was that dumbass alley-oop.
In my opinion, IU took a double hit at tourney chances. I had them moving from 50% up to 55% when Cronin threw his own player out of a game. It looked like IU might finish ahead of them.
But then UCLA beat Illinois and of course, IU has lost to what I would have mentioned was going to be a very tough game, against Northwestern. I said before the season that I thought this IU team would resemble a typical NW team. Except Northwestern can play the part a little better head to head.
With the loss, I see IU going down to 40% chance of making the tourney. A win vs MSU would move them back up. But it is unlikely.
Like the boofest of 2015 in the game vs MSU, I see this one potentially bring some negative emotions from fans if they dont find a way to win and regain hope in their post season chances.
our tourney chances are 0. You're a little in the weeds. We lack the skills and mostly the fortitude to win out and win at least 3 games in the BTT
give it up man
Essentially have to win the MSU game to offset the NW game. Even then it's dicey.
Winning out (MN, MSU, OSU) and then one BTT, I would put the odds at about 40%
Winning MN, MSU, and a BTT game, but losing the OSU game I would put the odds at 10%, and that's getting into the play-in game.
Lose to any one of MN, MSU, or the first BTT game, and then there's no shot.
Essentially have to win the MSU game to offset the NW game. Even then it's dicey.
Winning out (MN, MSU, OSU) and then one BTT, I would put the odds at about 40%
Winning MN, MSU, and a BTT game, but losing the OSU game I would put the odds at 10%, and that's getting into the play-in game.
Lose to any one of MN, MSU, or the first BTT game, and then there's no shot.
11-9 in the B1G with another win in the conference tournament equals 40% chance?
🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡
11-9 we'd probably get in. 11-9 with a BTT win seems like a lock.
We won't get to 11-9, but I still am choosing to hope.
@gthomas Yep. I immediately sent a message in our text chat about that play. Seriously did he just throw up an alley-oop in that moment? Seriously? The entire second half was a disaster and that play encapsulated all of it, and the season, as you said.
@hoosiers94 I think you're right. Unless we win out, which includes beating MSU at home and OSU on the road, I don't think we get in. Last night killed us. Can't have a loss like that on an already shaky tournament resume.
Either way, I think I'm done watching for the season. I slept on it, tried not to overreact, but I don't think I'll bother watching the last 3 games, or the BTT. Just not worth it. I'll take a break and be ready for next year... when does football season start?