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Robert Olson's avatar
(@arioznahoosier4554)
Honorable Member

I guess in theory we could squeak in but it must be one of the weakest bubbles in history. We really have no great wins. Purdue at home I guess but most teams we beat are not good.


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Posted : 03/03/2026 2:09 pm
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GThomas's avatar
(@gthomas)
Noble Member

Posted by: @arioznahoosier4554

I guess in theory we could squeak in but it must be one of the weakest bubbles in history. We really have no great wins. Purdue at home I guess but most teams we beat are not good.

4-12 vs. Q1/2 (2-11 vs. Q1) and 13-0 vs. Q3/Q4.

I think some are focusing too much on the "no bad losses" thing and too little on the awful record/results against good/decent competition.

Quick question: How in the holy hell is NW Q2? That's not even considered a "bad" loss by Quad standards. Whatever. The Quad system is an abomination.

 


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Posted : 03/03/2026 3:13 pm
RedandRowdy
(@redandrowdy)
Eminent Member

@iunorth no disrespect, but there are so many "ifs" in that scenario...........our season is done, we are OUT.


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Posted : 03/04/2026 3:44 pm
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GThomas's avatar
(@gthomas)
Noble Member

Posted by: @redandrowdy

@iunorth no disrespect, but there are so many "ifs" in that scenario...........our season is done, we are OUT.

The previous four games don't give you high hopes?

 


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Posted : 03/04/2026 4:58 pm
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Robert Olson's avatar
(@arioznahoosier4554)
Honorable Member

Posted by: @gthomas

Posted by: @arioznahoosier4554

I guess in theory we could squeak in but it must be one of the weakest bubbles in history. We really have no great wins. Purdue at home I guess but most teams we beat are not good.

4-12 vs. Q1/2 (2-11 vs. Q1) and 13-0 vs. Q3/Q4.

I think some are focusing too much on the "no bad losses" thing and too little on the awful record/results against good/decent competition.

Quick question: How in the holy hell is NW Q2? That's not even considered a "bad" loss by Quad standards. Whatever. The Quad system is an abomination.

 

 

I honestly do not pay any attention to that kind of stuff.  I am not going to take the time to  break it all down I do not care enough these days. I just look at who we beat and did not beat and if we do indeed get in it has to be the weakest bubble in a very long time. 

 


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Posted : 03/04/2026 5:25 pm
OpenWheel's avatar
(@openwheel)
Noble Member

Well we do suck. But if we win the next two games, then a game in the big tourney, we suck a lot less.  Would be 20-13, 10-10 . That is usually in.

Win tonight, lose to Ohio State, win TWO games in the tourney, is 20-14, 9-11. Not as good, would (should) be out. Need to win out the regular season, then win a game.

Lets go Hoosiers!


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Posted : 03/04/2026 5:33 pm
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OneEyedUndertaker
(@oneeyedundertaker)
Noble Member

Trent is absolutely a flight risk.  His sis will presumably still be there but his brother is graduating & that’s a big reason he’s there.  Needless to say, they’re not thrilled with how this season is gone…


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Posted : 03/05/2026 9:11 am
Gros Louis's avatar
(@gros-louis)
Prominent Member

Posted by: @arioznahoosier4554

I guess in theory we could squeak in but it must be one of the weakest bubbles in history. We really have no great wins. Purdue at home I guess but most teams we beat are not good.

https://twitter.com/UCLAWire/status/2029540119187694028?s=20

 


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Posted : 03/05/2026 10:00 am
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RedandRowdy
(@redandrowdy)
Eminent Member

@gthomas Last nights game didn't change my mind, either.


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Posted : 03/05/2026 10:18 am
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OpenWheel's avatar
(@openwheel)
Noble Member

Posted by: @oneeyedundertaker

Trent is absolutely a flight risk.  His sis will presumably still be there but his brother is graduating & that’s a big reason he’s there.  Needless to say, they’re not thrilled with how this season is gone…

Trent helped us out against Minnesota in very few minutes. Good to see him play a couple minutes before it was clearly over. I think Trent will be a key piece. Hopefully we retain the guys we want. 

Despite Ristic's airball as the clock was winding down at the end of the game, I think he will be a div 1 player too. Miles might have a role. Defense, the occasional bucket. But we need a bit better for the defensive 'length' type role players. 


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Posted : 03/05/2026 10:31 am
GThomas's avatar
(@gthomas)
Noble Member

Posted by: @redandrowdy

@gthomas Last nights game didn't change my mind, either.

When he badly missed that corner three in the 1st half, I said, "Well, that explains his lack of minutes." 

That said, I still think there's something there, so I'd like to see him return.

 


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Posted : 03/05/2026 10:35 am
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Middawg's avatar
(@middawg)
Reputable Member

Sisley is an enigma within this season for sure.   

 

Did he develop the Steve Sax yips shooting the ball in December? 

 

 He way hurried his wide open airball three last night for no reason and hasn't made one in gawd knows how long.  

 

Shirley his overall D is not complete trash, likely typical freshman mistakes, but with effort.   

 

He brings energy and pressure on the D by sprinting up court after a defensive rebound.  Basic bball stuff.  

 

Indiana playing with heavy legs and tired second half collapses due to CDD not buying first half minutes off the bench.  

 

I know I  would rather watch Sisley F shit up for 5-10 min a game than watch Tucker labor into his 32nd minute, holding the ball at the top of the key, begging and hand signaling for a screen, and him showing his ability to drive most compares to two 95 year olds trying to fuck.  

 


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Posted : 03/05/2026 10:56 am
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GThomas's avatar
(@gthomas)
Noble Member

Posted by: @middawg

Did he develop the Steve Sax yips shooting the ball in December?

I hope it's simply lack of reps. I'm not ready to include him in the same sentence as Sax, Knoblach, and Ankiel just yet. 


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Posted : 03/05/2026 11:03 am
IUNorth
(@iunorth)
Noble Member

@redandrowdy I think, at this point, whatever you think the odds are that we win on Saturday, those are close to the odds we'll make the NCAA tournament.  Because with the bubble looking how it does, if we beat OSU, we'll very, very likely get an at large.  And if we don't beat them, it would probably take 2-3 wins in the BTT, to fight back in to conversations for the committee.  And if we do beat them, but its still not quite enough for some committee members, the BTT matchups are looking like we could play someone like Penn State on Wednesday, then maybe UCLA on Thursday.  UCLA is obviously a winnable game, they've been pretty mediocre away from the west coast.  And a win over OSU, then 2 BTT wins, would 99% make us a lock.

So, realistically, the odds aren't better than 50/50 we'll beat OSU on Saturday.  It isn't a great matchup.  They're on fire right now.  We're playing better in the last couple games, but nothing screams we'll go in there and beat them.  But, the odds aren't "ZERO", obviously.  The challenge is probably similar to the UCLA and USC type games.  If we play well, we could certainly beat them.  So... 35%??... take away a 5-10% variable for bid stealers and committee members using this year to not value the metrics that say IU should be in.... But then add back in the potential to win 2-3 BTT games... I'd put the overall chances, as I'm typing this, at 30-35% that IU makes the NCAA tournament.  If they win Saturday, that percentage soars to 80+%, I'm sure.  

All this "Zero chance" talk isn't based on anything but emotion.  Even if they lose on Saturday, it still isn't "Zero chance".  


This post was modified 2 weeks ago 2 times by IUNorth
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Posted : 03/05/2026 12:14 pm
Hoosiers94
(@hoosiers94)
Noble Member

@arioznahoosier4554 

yesI'm 


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Posted : 03/05/2026 12:31 pm
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