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The Black Swan

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Stollcpa's avatar
(@mommyshine5220)
Eminent Member

Thinking about reading this book. Has anyone read it and recommends reading it? 


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Topic starter Posted : 06/28/2026 10:41 am
Arthur Dent's avatar
(@arthur-dent)
Noble Member

@mommyshine5220 I read it years ago and enjoyed it. I believe it makes one think about fragility, how we really aren't prepared for the things we believe we are prepared for. I also read one of his follow-up books. I think the point strikes for personal, business, and governmental decisions.


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Posted : 06/28/2026 11:17 am
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Bulk VH
(@bulk-vh)
Member Moderator

Posted by: @arthur-dent

@mommyshine5220 I read it years ago and enjoyed it. I believe it makes one think about fragility, how we really aren't prepared for the things we believe we are prepared for. I also read one of his follow-up books. I think the point strikes for personal, business, and governmental decisions.

I am intrigued, but I see it's the second of a 5 volume set.  Excuse my ignorance, but is there any need to read them in order?

 


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Posted : 06/28/2026 11:24 am
Arthur Dent's avatar
(@arthur-dent)
Noble Member

Posted by: @bulk-vh

I am intrigued, but I see it's the second of a 5 volume set.  Excuse my ignorance, but is there any need to read them in order?

My take is that order doesn't matter. I haven't read all 5 though. I did not read The Bed of Precustes, and still haven't finished Skin in the Game. Oh, and I read Swan first. 


This post was modified 20 hours ago by Arthur Dent
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Posted : 06/28/2026 11:42 am
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Bulk VH
(@bulk-vh)
Member Moderator

@arthur-dent 

Thanks! Just ordered it for my Kindle.


This post was modified 20 hours ago by Bulk VH

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Posted : 06/28/2026 11:44 am
C Probert's avatar
(@bar-down)
Noble Member

Posted by: @bulk-vh

I am intrigued

cosign. 

image

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Posted : 06/28/2026 11:49 am
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Bulk VH
(@bulk-vh)
Member Moderator

@bar-down 

I knew this was inevitable.


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Posted : 06/28/2026 11:50 am
C Probert's avatar
(@bar-down)
Noble Member

@bulk-vh oh it's something different


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Posted : 06/28/2026 11:54 am
Bulk VH
(@bulk-vh)
Member Moderator

is377se1i41f1


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Posted : 06/28/2026 11:56 am
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C Probert's avatar
(@bar-down)
Noble Member

Posted by: @arthur-dent

I think the point strikes for personal, business, and governmental decisions.

@bulk-vh @arthur-dent okay i read the summary.  interesting indeed.  not as interesting as hot lesbos but still.  without reading i will argue that you don't need to worry about any of that stuff if you make the right decisions.  you can insulate yourself.  but we're all responsible for our own stuff. financial security.  personal, emotional etc.

and it's funny how different our lives can be based on those decisions.  our botanical garden is outstanding.  incredible kids' playground.  my minion was there yesterday and i was sitting on a bench scrolling facebook while he and the kids were playing.  guy i went to high school with announced his retirement.  done this friday.  same high school class.  sold his house.  building a retirement home at the lake.  union nailpounder guys.  pumped for his grandkids to come down for weekends.  i was reading this watching my 5 year old play knowing i'll have no retirement any time soon and certainly no pension.  by 18 he had chosen his career and wife and never left either.  now 54 and retiring this week with grandkids.

i think more than these external events, hell trump and tariffs are one, i think OUR lives are subject to just a handful of decisions that have little to do with anyone or any external thing.  maybe 5 decisions over 80 years.  college or not.  career choice.  staying or leaving that career.  picking the right wife.  staying or leaving that wife.  that's mostly it.  the outside world doesn't have much affect on those things and they will shape your life.  

not completely responsive but interesting as all of us narcissists relate everything back to us.  anyway me and @joe_hoopsier are happy to advise for those hoping to learn more and chart their paths


This post was modified 19 hours ago 2 times by C Probert
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Posted : 06/28/2026 12:11 pm
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Bulk VH
(@bulk-vh)
Member Moderator

@bar-down 

1 judge chamberlain haller e28093 my cousin vinny

That is a lucid, intelligent, well-thought out post.

😯


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Posted : 06/28/2026 12:34 pm
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UncleMark
(@unclemark)
Famed Member

Posted by: @bar-down

@bulk-vh @arthur-dent okay i read the summary.  interesting indeed.  not as interesting as hot lesbos but still.  without reading i will argue that you don't need to worry about any of that stuff if you make the right decisions.  you can insulate yourself.  but we're all responsible for our own stuff. financial security.  personal, emotional etc.

Yeah, boils down to Shit Happens, prepare for it and roll with it.

Easy to say, hard to do. But if you're living on the edge, you'll get bit.


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Posted : 06/28/2026 12:44 pm
C Probert's avatar
(@bar-down)
Noble Member

@unclemark yup exactly


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Posted : 06/28/2026 12:45 pm
CO. Hoosier
(@co-hoosier)
Noble Member

@bar-down 

I believe the skill set ( or talent stack the Scott Adams used to say) are so imbedded in each of us that those skills and talents will see us through many bumps in the road.  The weaknesses are with those who don’t see themselves as having those skills and talents.  Understanding that and applying it is its own skill.  


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Posted : 06/28/2026 12:50 pm
C Probert's avatar
(@bar-down)
Noble Member

@co-hoosier sort of but there are other things in our make up. You have a strength and a discipline not all of us do. @aloha-hoosier does too. I do not.  I’m obviously very smart incredibly handsome charming and a great speaker.  But I’m weak. And have no enduring discipline.  If I had it I’d be sitting by my pool overlooking the water in front of my 20 million dollar mansion ready to retire in ten years. 

but I can’t keep doing the same stuff.  I ask the hot parawhore to happy hour instead of going home to the wife.  I think to myself omfg is this what my life is?  Another Fing MSJ response?  I can’t do this. There has to be more. 

well skipping HH and doing that response leads to a path markedly different than going to that HH and saying gents.  Let’s start a business. F this misery.  But the former takes strength and discipline.  We’re not all built the same 


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Posted : 06/28/2026 12:56 pm
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