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Right track, wrong track polls are an election indicator.

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Aloha Hoosier's avatar
(@aloha-hoosier)
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75 percent of Americans thought the country was on the wrong track before the 2024 election and DJT was elected President. After the election, right track/wrong track percentages about evened out, but it's gone in the wrong track direction since and is 67 percent wrong track now per the polls. Will this affect the midterms?

Most Americans say country is on the wrong track, blame Trump for inflation, disapprove of the president and say he is going too far to expand power of presidency - ABC News


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Topic starter Posted : 11/03/2025 12:42 pm
Arthur Dent's avatar
(@arthur-dent)
Noble Member

I think that explains the redistricting push. If you can't make the people happy, change the rules.


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Posted : 11/03/2025 1:01 pm
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McM666's avatar
(@mcm666)
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@arthur-dent 

At the same time, even more Americans say the Democratic Party is "out of touch with the concerns of most people in the United States today" (68%) than Trump (63%) and the Republican Party (61%).

so that's a good thing for pubs.  when margins are this close, and so few actually decide elections. i'd be pleased with this poll as a pub.

dems, national dems, have such a clear path if they would only jettison the celebrity freaks, the academic bubble freaks, and the actual freaks.  things are lining up so nicely for dems.  no one really cares about trump usurping power.  that's bs.  who cares.  or remodeling the east wing.  

dems have three major things that inure to their benefit: 1) prices aren't getting cheaper.  promise made promise broken.  2) health insurance is going to go up adding to problem one.  3) you have some horrifically poor red states, primarily in the south, who are going to be impacted by snap benes etc.  

if dems left the socialism insanity to the insane candidate who never had a job in nyc to nyc but focused nationallly on the 3 things above to the exclusion of everything else i don't see how they can lose.  they can shift that 7 percent set forth above their way


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Posted : 11/03/2025 1:16 pm
dbmhoosier
(@dbmhoosier)
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Tomorrow's races won't tell us much of anything.  Both VA and NJ are like D+10 states.  Youngkin is very popular in VA and if he were eligible to run for reelection he likely wins easily.  Ciatterelli may lose but it should be much closer than it has any right to be and he can win.

In 2021 Pubs won VA and way over performed in NJ.  Still didn't tell us anything about how the midterms would go.  In 2022 Americans clearly thought the country was headed in the wrong direction and it still didn't translate to a red wave.


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Posted : 11/03/2025 2:16 pm
Goat
 Goat
(@goat)
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Posted by: @aloha-hoosier

75 percent of Americans thought the country was on the wrong track before the 2024 election and DJT was elected President. After the election, right track/wrong track percentages about evened out, but it's gone in the wrong track direction since and is 67 percent wrong track now per the polls. Will this affect the midterms?

Most Americans say country is on the wrong track, blame Trump for inflation, disapprove of the president and say he is going too far to expand power of presidency - ABC News

12 months out is too soon to prognosticate based on polls, anyway. They can help parties craft strategy for the next year. If I were the GOP, I'd be worried that voters seem to think they aren't really fixing anything. If I were the Dems, I'd be worried that voters aren't really attracted to them as an alternative, even as the GOP is disillusioning them.

 


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Posted : 11/03/2025 2:34 pm
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CO. Hoosier
(@co-hoosier)
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@mcm666 

The inflation question tells me all I need to know about this “poll”.  


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Posted : 11/03/2025 5:41 pm
McM666's avatar
(@mcm666)
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@co-hoosier yeah but people are largely ignorant so you have to account for same.  groceries/energy have outpaced inflation.  so they don't know what is included in the def they just know their electricity bill is up and so are their groceries.  next will be health insurance.  and despite snarl's recalcitrance so will consumer products like clothing etc.  

dems need to jettison all the woke dispshits for normal people and they'd really have a lot to work with this next election.  


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Posted : 11/03/2025 5:51 pm
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dbmhoosier
(@dbmhoosier)
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Posted by: @mcm666

@co-hoosier yeah but people are largely ignorant so you have to account for same.  groceries/energy have outpaced inflation.  so they don't know what is included in the def they just know their electricity bill is up and so are their groceries.  next will be health insurance.  and despite snarl's recalcitrance so will consumer products like clothing etc.  

dems need to jettison all the woke dispshits for normal people and they'd really have a lot to work with this next election.  

Everyone from Baris to Rasmussen says the same thing.  Voters want Trump spending more time on domestic issues such as more deportations and lower prices.  That's literally all they care about now.  They want Ukraine, Israel, Venezuela, etc all completely cut off. 

In short, he hasn't been America First enough.  Supposedly the WH is planning a major pivot to domestic issues around New Years.  The Aloha voters barely exist anymore.  Boomercons are about the only ones that care about foreign policy right now.

https://twitter.com/honestpollster/status/1985427639151026402?t=UXIxBTaZqXVwrBRapkQCXg&s=19

 


This post was modified 6 months ago by dbmhoosier
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Posted : 11/03/2025 6:11 pm
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CO. Hoosier
(@co-hoosier)
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@mcm666 

Yes, people are largely ignorant about inflation.  You would think a reputable polling organization would not pose argumentative questions that magnify ignorance. but nooooo . . . . .


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Posted : 11/03/2025 7:28 pm
dbmhoosier
(@dbmhoosier)
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Luckily for Republicans 

https://twitter.com/ElectionWiz/status/1985486602131616086?t=zlcRrpMQ90by2rDqawkpwQ&s=19


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Posted : 11/03/2025 7:45 pm
Arthur Dent's avatar
(@arthur-dent)
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@co-hoosier how do you find the question argumentative?


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Posted : 11/03/2025 8:24 pm
McM666's avatar
(@mcm666)
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@arthur-dent suggests the answer they want


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Posted : 11/03/2025 8:32 pm
CO. Hoosier
(@co-hoosier)
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@arthur-dent 

The question conveys the conclusion that the present rate of inflation is a problem and Trump is the cause.  


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Posted : 11/03/2025 8:40 pm
Arthur Dent's avatar
(@arthur-dent)
Noble Member

@mcm666 this is the inflation question, how does it suggest an answer they want:

 

How much, if at all, do you blame Trump for the current rate of inflation, meaning rising prices?

How much, if at all, is suggesting no blame, but I doubt he would complain about that.

If I were to ask "how likely, if at all, do you believe Indiana is to win the College Football Championship", I don't find it suggesting there is an answer they should provide. I am certain O$U fans would be quite willing to say "zero."


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Posted : 11/03/2025 8:41 pm
McM666's avatar
(@mcm666)
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@arthur-dent im just telling you.  it's an argumentative question

do you have an opinion as to the rate of inflation

you believe it is high

who or what do you believe is responsible

 


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Posted : 11/03/2025 8:45 pm
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