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Election returns -- 2026 midterms

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Zeke4ahs
(@zeke4ahs)
Noble Member

@goat Like I said. And tomorrow they will start about how everything was rigged. Heaven forbid he will take any responsibility.


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Posted : 11/03/2026 11:04 pm
HurryingHoosiers
(@hurryinghoosiers)
Noble Member

Posted by: @snarlcakes
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Posted by: @hurryinghoosiers
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Posted by: @snarlcakes
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Posted by: @goat
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@snarlcakes You're really missing the point. Looking at these smaller counties in the middle of the Triangle, Williamson, Hays, Brazos, etc., Paxton is running 15-25 points behind Trump. That's not because a bunch of non-whites moved in the last two years. It's because there's a complete repudiation of where the country is that crosses demographic lines.

No, I'm not missing your point.  I am disagreeing with some of your conclusion.  I think Texas is now a purple state with very poor demographics. Similar to California in the 80s or more recently Georgia.  And the GOP is going to really struggle for the foresee future in federal elections.  

 

I think it has more to do with paxton being an awful candidate than Texas being purple.

 

I didn't mention Paxton.  I was talking about Abbott. 

 

The post you quoted mentioned paxton, which is why I made the assumption 

 


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Posted : 11/03/2026 11:04 pm
Arthur Dent's avatar
(@arthur-dent)
Noble Member

Posted by: @big-ryan
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even with Musk's hundreds of millions of dollars

I wonder if Musk hurt, 1) Musk is tied to data centers that are not popular 2) many are just irritated by that much money being spent. 


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Posted : 11/03/2026 11:04 pm
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C Probert's avatar
(@bar-down)
Famed Member

@hurryinghoosiers Hispanics flipped. They saw Biden spike their gas and turned. Trump did the same so they turned again


This post was modified 1 week ago by C Probert
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Posted : 11/03/2026 11:04 pm
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snarlcakes's avatar
(@snarlcakes)
Famed Member

@bar-down Hispanics didn't flip. They went back to the party they always vote for.  The anomaly and flip was Cruz and Trump winning their vote in 24.


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Posted : 11/03/2026 11:07 pm
Goat
 Goat
(@goat)
Famed Member

Abbott has called Hinojosa to concede.


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Posted : 11/03/2026 11:07 pm
dbmhoosier
(@dbmhoosier)
Famed Member

Dammit 

https://twitter.com/alx/status/2117826196171898988?a=s9gR-lN1WfniZf_uH74&s=09


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Posted : 11/03/2026 11:07 pm
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Goat
 Goat
(@goat)
Famed Member

@zeke4ahs Trump has already publicly said he accepts the results and hopes he can work with the Dems. It's that big of a loss.


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Posted : 11/03/2026 11:09 pm
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C Probert's avatar
(@bar-down)
Famed Member

@snarlcakes Hispanics fluctuate. Miami Hispanic even.


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Posted : 11/03/2026 11:12 pm
C Probert's avatar
(@bar-down)
Famed Member

@dbmhoosier his time is over.  Saved us from Harris and Walz. That’s fine. Now we need to find someone for 28.  People are done with Trump


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Posted : 11/03/2026 11:13 pm
HurryingHoosiers
(@hurryinghoosiers)
Noble Member

I wonder how many people truly flip vs just different people voting due to the opposite party getting a higher percentage of their followers to bother voting.

Mad people tend to vote more than happy people which probably explains why midterms generally go to the party not in charge....even before factoring the trump effect that turned the normal wave into a tsunami 


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Posted : 11/03/2026 11:15 pm
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snarlcakes's avatar
(@snarlcakes)
Famed Member

Posted by: @bar-down
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@dbmhoosier his time is over.  Saved us from Harris and Walz. That’s fine. Now we need to find someone for 28.  People are done with Trump

That someone is AOC.  It will at least be fun looking at her for 4 to 8 years.   The Presidency tends to age people, I hope it doesn't take away her beauty.  

 


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Posted : 11/03/2026 11:17 pm
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Twenty's avatar
(@twenty)
Prominent Member

Posted by: @snarlcakes
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@bar-down Hispanics didn't flip. They went back to the party they always vote for.  The anomaly and flip was Cruz and Trump winning their vote in 24.

 

None of which explains why TX went blue for first time in a couple generations. The answer lies in the burbs of Dallas and Houston . Same trend you are going to find in every state in the country. 

 


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Posted : 11/03/2026 11:18 pm
Goat
 Goat
(@goat)
Famed Member

@hurryinghoosiers Don't quote me on this, but IIRC from previous polling, something like 5-10% of voters actually switch party-to-party from one election to the next. The rest of the difference is turnout.


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Posted : 11/03/2026 11:18 pm
SqueakyClean
(@squeakyclean)
Prominent Member

Called for Sherrod Brown.  If no other surprises, dems have officially taken the Senate.


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Posted : 11/03/2026 11:18 pm
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