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snarlcakes's avatar
(@snarlcakes)
Noble Member

Posted by: @big-ryan

January 2026 was a good month for jobs.  Let's hope it's the beginning of a trend, because all of 2025 was shit for jobs. 

U.S. gained 130,000 jobs last month, but labor market growth stalled in 2025

Why were they shit last year? Unemployment was low.  Wages were up.  Economy expanded 4% the last 3 quarters. And they managed to cut around 300k government jobs. That's not a shitty job market at all.

 


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Topic starter Posted : 02/11/2026 12:09 pm
SqueakyClean
(@squeakyclean)
Reputable Member

Posted by: @snarlcakes

 

Why were they shit last year? Unemployment was low.  Wages were up.  Economy expanded 4% the last 3 quarters. And they managed to cut around 300k government jobs. That's not a shitty job market at all.

 

He might be referencing the one million downward revision to the 2025 payroll jobs number.  Means that the average monthly payroll growth for 2025 was reduced from 50,000 to 15,000.

 


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Posted : 02/11/2026 12:39 pm
Butch Crawling's avatar
(@big-ryan)
Prominent Member

Posted by: @snarlcakes

That's not a shitty job market at all.

The economy registered solid growth in 2025 but the job market stalled.  That's an irrefutable fact.  2025 was the worst year for hiring since 2020 - - or since 2003 outside of a recession.   

Job growth is a key component of the job market.  The job market added just 181,000 jobs in all of 2025. 

Maybe today's numbers signal the start of a revival in the job market.  Only time will tell. 


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Posted : 02/11/2026 12:39 pm
snarlcakes's avatar
(@snarlcakes)
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Posted by: @big-ryan

Posted by: @snarlcakes

That's not a shitty job market at all.

The economy registered solid growth in 2025 but the job market stalled.  That's an irrefutable fact.  2025 was the worst year for hiring since 2020 - - or since 2003 outside of a recession.   

Job growth is a key component of the job market.  The job market added just 181,000 jobs in all of 2025. 

Maybe today's numbers signal the start of a revival in the job market.  Only time will tell. 

You're looking at one data point and concluding it's a shitty job market. Not to mention it's not as important as several others. If the U.S. in 2026 adds 5x the jobs, but has declining wages, a shrinking economy, and unemployment at 6% would you conclude it's a better job market? 

 


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Topic starter Posted : 02/11/2026 1:06 pm
snarlcakes's avatar
(@snarlcakes)
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Posted by: @squeakyclean

Posted by: @snarlcakes

 

Why were they shit last year? Unemployment was low.  Wages were up.  Economy expanded 4% the last 3 quarters. And they managed to cut around 300k government jobs. That's not a shitty job market at all.

 

He might be referencing the one million downward revision to the 2025 payroll jobs number.  Means that the average monthly payroll growth for 2025 was reduced from 50,000 to 15,000.

 

I assumed that.  Doesn't mean it's a shitty job market though. 

 


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Topic starter Posted : 02/11/2026 1:08 pm
Spartans9312's avatar
(@spartans9312)
Noble Member

Posted by: @snarlcakes

Posted by: @big-ryan

January 2026 was a good month for jobs.  Let's hope it's the beginning of a trend, because all of 2025 was shit for jobs. 

U.S. gained 130,000 jobs last month, but labor market growth stalled in 2025

Why were they shit last year? Unemployment was low.  Wages were up.  Economy expanded 4% the last 3 quarters. And they managed to cut around 300k government jobs. That's not a shitty job market at all.

 

 

Federal workforce cut more than 10% in 1 year. 

 


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Posted : 02/11/2026 2:19 pm
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dbmhoosier
(@dbmhoosier)
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https://twitter.com/i/status/2022302807135531476


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Posted : 02/13/2026 9:49 am
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snarlcakes's avatar
(@snarlcakes)
Noble Member

https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/2022302369686446123?s=46

Murt, wherever you are, tariffs aren't inflationary.  @twenty it's time to admit Trump did a really good job his 1st year with the economy and immigration.   Also, deportations and slowing immigration is deflationary @jdb.   


GIF

 


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Topic starter Posted : 02/13/2026 9:59 am
Butch Crawling's avatar
(@big-ryan)
Prominent Member

You were smart to put a question mark at the end of your thread title. 

If you're high income, this is a great economy.  If you're middle or low income, you're just trying to stay afloat. 

K-shaped economy widens as middle-class spending slows: economist


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Posted : 02/13/2026 11:14 am
snarlcakes's avatar
(@snarlcakes)
Noble Member

Posted by: @big-ryan

You were smart to put a question mark at the end of your thread title. 

If you're high income, this is a great economy.  If you're middle or low income, you're just trying to stay afloat. 

K-shaped economy widens as middle-class spending slows: economist

https://twitter.com/realejantoni/status/2022314908432437522?s=46

The average American is doing better today than a year ago.  And a lot better than when Biden was in office.  They're upset because Biden crushed them during his term.    

 


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Topic starter Posted : 02/13/2026 11:29 am
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Twenty's avatar
(@twenty)
Reputable Member

@snarlcakes 

 

I thought it was 1.2%? that's what you claimed like 3 weeks ago.

 

 


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Posted : 02/13/2026 11:30 am
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snarlcakes's avatar
(@snarlcakes)
Noble Member

Posted by: @twenty

@snarlcakes 

 

I thought it was 1.2%? that's what you claimed like 3 weeks ago.

 

 

I said it's trending down to 2% or lower. Truflation has it lower.  According to them it takes about 2 months for the BLS to catch up, which is why I said Truflation is a good leading indicator for where it's heading.   

https://twitter.com/truflation/status/2020545987668828597?s=46

 

 


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Topic starter Posted : 02/13/2026 11:41 am
Butch Crawling's avatar
(@big-ryan)
Prominent Member

Posted by: @snarlcakes

Posted by: @big-ryan

You were smart to put a question mark at the end of your thread title. 

If you're high income, this is a great economy.  If you're middle or low income, you're just trying to stay afloat. 

K-shaped economy widens as middle-class spending slows: economist

https://twitter.com/realejantoni/status/2022314908432437522?s=46

The average American is doing better today than a year ago.  And a lot better than when Biden was in office.  They're upset because Biden crushed them during his term.    

 

EJ Antoni, Snarl? Seriously?

Biden was awful, but he is history.  The average American isn't upset about him. (in fact, Rasmussen's poll this week show more voters think Biden was better than Trump).  It's Trump's economy now.  He said so himself.  And Trump's K-shaped economy is great for the rich and definitely not great for everyone else.  

 


This post was modified 2 months ago by Butch Crawling
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Posted : 02/13/2026 12:14 pm
JDB's avatar
 JDB
(@jdb)
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Posted by: @snarlcakes

Also, deportations and slowing immigration is deflationary @jdb.   

Initially, because of reduced demand. If it catches up with the supply side, that's inflationary. Who the hell is going to mow your company's lawn or put on your roof? I would hate own a low skill, commoditized service business these days.


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Posted : 02/13/2026 12:46 pm
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snarlcakes's avatar
(@snarlcakes)
Noble Member

Posted by: @big-ryan

Posted by: @snarlcakes

Posted by: @big-ryan

You were smart to put a question mark at the end of your thread title. 

If you're high income, this is a great economy.  If you're middle or low income, you're just trying to stay afloat. 

K-shaped economy widens as middle-class spending slows: economist

https://twitter.com/realejantoni/status/2022314908432437522?s=46

The average American is doing better today than a year ago.  And a lot better than when Biden was in office.  They're upset because Biden crushed them during his term.    

 

EJ Antoni, Snarl? Seriously?

Biden was awful, but he is history.  The average American isn't upset about him. (in fact, Rasmussen's poll this week show more voters think Biden was better than Trump).  It's Trump's economy now.  He said so himself.  And Trump's K-shaped economy is great for the rich and definitely not great for everyone else.  

 

I agree it's Trump's economy.  That's why America is doing much better than a year ago.   

 


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Topic starter Posted : 02/13/2026 12:46 pm
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