For me, the UCLA win is more impressive than the Purdue win. IU had the game locked, then stumbled late in regulation, then was able to grind out a 1-point win in 2 OTs on the road. Nice to see the squad showing some grit.
DD hasn't sold me the car yet ... but I've been paying a bit more attention to his sales pitch the last few weeks.
Tourney chances back to 30% (after USC game)
Need to go 5-3 over the next eight games to finish 20-11 and 11-9 in the conference. Five games at home: Wisconsin, Oregon, Northwestern, Minnesota, and Michigan State and the three road games are Illinois, Purdue and Ohio State. Anything less and the Hoosiers do not deserve to go to the NCAA tourney. At best case IU looks like no better than a one and out team in the tourney.
Painful loss. Rough being so late at night for us, and after traveling and after a 2OT tough game. I think we beat USC in 6 or more out of 10 . But not last night.
Team needs a big stretch run. Lot of sites saying winning last night would have made us 'a lock' . But it's bubble time again.
Go Hoosiers!
Basically have to beat Wisconsin on Saturday. If we beat them, we're 7-6, we have 3 home games we'd have a great chance at winning in Oregon, NW, and Minny. And then would just need to split the MSU and OSU games, which is doable. If they lose... with the likely losses at Illinois and at Purdue... they'd have to go 5-0 in the other games...which, IU could do, I guess... but last nights game shows IU's propensity for inconsistent play. I see basically zero chance that they'd be able to beat all 5 of those teams.
11-9 is the target, I think, for them to get an at large. Depending on what the wins are, I don't think 10-10 gets them past play in game status, if that.
And while I don't think its the end of the world... it does suck that we're 3/4 of the way through the year, and yet again talking about bubble scenarios. Getting very, very old. Its NOT a fireable performance for CDD... FAR from it... obviously we need to see what he's able to do this upcoming offseason, and then next season. For me its mainly just a bummer. This team IS good enough to be a 4-6 seed type team. All they had to do was be more consistent.
11-9 is the target, in my opinion. That should get us in, no matter what the remaining wins and losses are.
10-10, and I think we need to win one of the unlikely road games (Illinois/Purdue).
Best I 'feelz' is 10-10 . And I think that gets us in.
We might be able to do it.
,
@openwheel 10-10 is very attainable. We have 5 home games, 3 of them being games we really should win. If we win those games, we'd only need to win 1 game out of Wisconsin and MSU at home, and then Illinois, Purdue and OSU on the road. Hard to see us losing all 5 of those games, especially with 2 of them at home.
Its a strange situation... I think 10-10 is pretty easily attainable, for this group. But 11-9 will be fairly difficult. One game difference. Its why the Wisky game is so huge, in my opinion.
@iunorth And really why losing last night hurts. That was a winnable game, and we didn't get it done. A bit of a momentum-killer too. Not that it's the end of the world but every win at this point takes a little pressure off the next game(s), some of which are nearly-guaranteed losses.
@ams66 Definitely. The games at Illinois and at Purdue are looming. Really need to win these next 2 home games. None of the games are going to be "easy". IU is too inconsistent, and just not good enough, I don't think to expect an easy win over really any B10 opponent this year. But the Oregon and NW games in Assembly Hall, really should be wins. Minnesota obviously showed they can beat us, but that's another one that if IU plays any semblence of solid basketball, we'll win that game too. The rest... including Wisky on Saturday... we'll have to play like we did against Rutgers and Purdue.
Still games to be played after Saturday, but it feels like Wisconsin is a tipping point. A win doesn't necessarily mean an NCAAT invite ... and a loss doesn't necessarily mean no bid. So maybe not a must-win, but very important to IU's postseason chances.
Still games to be played after Saturday, but it feels like Wisconsin is a tipping point. A win doesn't necessarily mean an NCAAT invite ... and a loss doesn't necessarily mean no bid. So maybe not a must-win, but very important to IU's postseason chances.
Yep. I think if they were to lose this one, they'd need to make it up with 1 of either Ill, PU or MSU
10-10 likely gets it done assuming they don't have a bad loss in the BT tourney meaning they'd probably have to win a game. Also may depend on surprise auto berths and how the other bubble teams do in comparison.
10-10 likely gets it done assuming they don't have a bad loss in the BT tourney meaning they'd probably have to win a game. Also may depend on surprise auto berths and how the other bubble teams do in comparison.
10-10 is probably a lock regardless. The bubble is too weak for others to jump over us at that point. The metrics are more than good enough and at 10-10 they likely go up a bit.
Tourney chances back to 30% (after USC game)
Tourney chances 40%. Its looking like @OSU could determine their fate. Must wins vs Oregon and Minnesota. Cannot get blown out again by MSU at home. UM and PU likely losses.
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