Hoosier Huddle's Bowl Projections - October 14

Written by T.J. Inman

For most teams, the 2024 college football regular season is halfway complete. The Indiana Hoosiers rested this past weekend after winning their first six games of the season and reaching bowl eligibility. Curt Cignetti and his Indiana Hoosiers have much bigger things in mind than just reaching a bowl game but goal number one is always to reach six victories and go bowling and IU’s win in Evanston accomplished that feat. 

College Football Playoff Projections

  1. Texas Longhorns – SEC Champion

  2. Ohio State Buckeyes – Big Ten Champion

  3. Clemson Tigers – ACC Champion

  4. Iowa State Cyclones – Big 12 Champion

  5. Oregon Ducks vs. 12. Boise State Broncos (G5 Selection)

  6. Georgia Bulldogs vs. 11. LSU Tigers

  7. Miami Hurricanes vs. 10. Texas A&M Aggies

  8. Penn State Nittany Lions vs. 9. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Big Ten Bowl Projections

I have three Big Ten teams (Ohio State, Oregon and Penn State) in the College Football Playoff so the Big Ten’s bowl slotting process begins after those top three teams. 

Citrus Bowl – Indiana vs. Ole Miss

Reliaquest Bowl – Nebraska vs. Missouri

Duke’s Mayo Bowl – Syracuse vs. Wisconsin

Music City Bowl – Michigan vs. Oklahoma

Independence Bowl – Illinois vs. Utah

Pinstripe Bowl – Rutgers vs. Georgia Tech

Holiday Bowl – Colorado vs. Washington

Liberty Bowl – Cincinnati vs. Northwestern

Guaranteed Rate Bowl – Arizona State vs. Iowa

Detroit Bowl – Michigan State vs. Northern Illinois 

Indiana vs. Ole Miss in Cheez-it Citrus Bowl

I currently have the Indiana Hoosiers projected to finish the regular season at 9-3 and being selected for the Citrus Bowl against the Ole Miss Rebels. The Hoosiers benefit from losses by USC and Rutgers that nearly ensure those two are going to be below IU in the pecking order. Upcoming matchups against Nebraska, Michigan and Washington (each currently 2-1 in the Big Ten) will go a very long way towards determining which bowl game each of those teams will end up in. Other bowl games to consider for IU fans are the Music City Bowl, the Duke’s Mayo Bowl and the Reliaquest Bowl but a 10-2 or 11-1 record brings the College Football Playoff into play. It certainly appears to me that an 11-1 IU team (loss to Ohio State and misses qualifying for the Big Ten Championship Game by losing the head-to-head tiebreaker to OSU) would make the College Football Playoff. ESPN’s prediction model had the Hoosiers making the playoff 99 percent of the time in that scenario. A second loss and a 10-2 record would drop that probability well below 50 percent.