@big-ryan his district was redrawn to be much more red, leaving him open to a primary from the right. He’s also had several public crash outs that are unbecoming of his office.
This is nuance that is lost on morons that just want to talk about MAGA.
I think you have this backwards. His district became less red as part of the attempt to flip one of the blue Houston districts.
I'm not going to pretend to know the intricacies of Houston area voting patterns or TX-02. Everything I've seen (mostly just google AI) says it became more red. Safe R either way. Looking at the before and after maps it appears much more rural, but also grabs a larger chunk of the Woodlands. It also had the unfortunate effect of drawing in a lot of his challengers state house district.
@big-ryan his district was redrawn to be much more red, leaving him open to a primary from the right. He’s also had several public crash outs that are unbecoming of his office.
This is nuance that is lost on morons that just want to talk about MAGA.
I think you have this backwards. His district became less red as part of the attempt to flip one of the blue Houston districts.
I'm not going to pretend to know the intricacies of Houston area voting patterns or TX-02. Everything I've seen (mostly just google AI) says it became more red. Safe R either way. Looking at the before and after maps it appears much more rural, but also grabs a larger chunk of the Woodlands. It also had the unfortunate effect of drawing in a lot of his challengers state house district.
Like you, I'm not an expert. I'm just going by what I see on the maps and read in the reports. Unless I have it wrong, I think you are actually just looking at the maps backwards. The new map is even less rural than the old one, and the district actually lost much of its overlap with Toth's state house district. I believe the reddest part of the district was the eastern end, which was lopped off to combine with eastern Houston in an attempt to create a new red district. At any rate, Cook has the new 2nd as R+11, whereas two years ago it was R+15.
That said, I'm not saying the redistricting should have helped Crenshaw. I'm just saying it seems doubtful to me that he lost because the district suddenly became too conservative for him. He's a solid right-wing Republican, and his only breaks with the major swath of his party seem to be over foreign policy, as he's a traditional hawk in a time that's less acceptable. And in that context, @big-ryan is actually probably on target to describe as a MAGA-vs.-non-MAGA fight.
I find Talarico and his boiled down, simplistic Christian proselytism extremely irksome.
See this^^^^^^
Cough...
NO, REALLY?
If I have to see Talarico or Buttigieg for that matter say “Scripture teaches us to love thy neighbor and welcome the stranger” one more time I’m going to put my fist through the wall.
Progressive Christianity. All of the feels, none of the strictures or obligations.
And what is wrong with bringing up Christian values? Does it point out the ridiculousness of Christians supporting Trump? About as ridiculous as those fake Christians pretending to be pro-life but supporting the murder of Good and Pretti.
@big-ryan his district was redrawn to be much more red, leaving him open to a primary from the right. He’s also had several public crash outs that are unbecoming of his office.
This is nuance that is lost on morons that just want to talk about MAGA.
I think you have this backwards. His district became less red as part of the attempt to flip one of the blue Houston districts.
I'm not going to pretend to know the intricacies of Houston area voting patterns or TX-02. Everything I've seen (mostly just google AI) says it became more red. Safe R either way. Looking at the before and after maps it appears much more rural, but also grabs a larger chunk of the Woodlands. It also had the unfortunate effect of drawing in a lot of his challengers state house district.
Like you, I'm not an expert. I'm just going by what I see on the maps and read in the reports. Unless I have it wrong, I think you are actually just looking at the maps backwards. The new map is even less rural than the old one, and the district actually lost much of its overlap with Toth's state house district. I believe the reddest part of the district was the eastern end, which was lopped off to combine with eastern Houston in an attempt to create a new red district. At any rate, Cook has the new 2nd as R+11, whereas two years ago it was R+15.
That said, I'm not saying the redistricting should have helped Crenshaw. I'm just saying it seems doubtful to me that he lost because the district suddenly became too conservative for him. He's a solid right-wing Republican, and his only breaks with the major swath of his party seem to be over foreign policy, as he's a traditional hawk in a time that's less acceptable. And in that context, @big-ryan is actually probably on target to describe as a MAGA-vs.-non-MAGA fight.
Not according to Texas Tribune
Across the aisle, U.S. Rep. Dan Crenshaw, a former Navy SEAL and fourth-term congressman from Houston, lost to state Rep. Steve Toth, R-Conroe. Crenshaw faced difficult headwinds — he was the only House Republican running for reelection in Texas without a Trump endorsement — but it didn’t help when his district was redrawn to include more of Toth’s territory in Montgomery County.
Do you actually subscribe to Cook?
@big-ryan his district was redrawn to be much more red, leaving him open to a primary from the right. He’s also had several public crash outs that are unbecoming of his office.
This is nuance that is lost on morons that just want to talk about MAGA.
I think you have this backwards. His district became less red as part of the attempt to flip one of the blue Houston districts.
I'm not going to pretend to know the intricacies of Houston area voting patterns or TX-02. Everything I've seen (mostly just google AI) says it became more red. Safe R either way. Looking at the before and after maps it appears much more rural, but also grabs a larger chunk of the Woodlands. It also had the unfortunate effect of drawing in a lot of his challengers state house district.
Like you, I'm not an expert. I'm just going by what I see on the maps and read in the reports. Unless I have it wrong, I think you are actually just looking at the maps backwards. The new map is even less rural than the old one, and the district actually lost much of its overlap with Toth's state house district. I believe the reddest part of the district was the eastern end, which was lopped off to combine with eastern Houston in an attempt to create a new red district. At any rate, Cook has the new 2nd as R+11, whereas two years ago it was R+15.
That said, I'm not saying the redistricting should have helped Crenshaw. I'm just saying it seems doubtful to me that he lost because the district suddenly became too conservative for him. He's a solid right-wing Republican, and his only breaks with the major swath of his party seem to be over foreign policy, as he's a traditional hawk in a time that's less acceptable. And in that context, @big-ryan is actually probably on target to describe as a MAGA-vs.-non-MAGA fight.
Not according to Texas Tribune
Across the aisle, U.S. Rep. Dan Crenshaw, a former Navy SEAL and fourth-term congressman from Houston, lost to state Rep. Steve Toth, R-Conroe. Crenshaw faced difficult headwinds — he was the only House Republican running for reelection in Texas without a Trump endorsement — but it didn’t help when his district was redrawn to include more of Toth’s territory in Montgomery County.
Do you actually subscribe to Cook?
No. I don't care enough to pay for it. District ratings are free info.
but it didn’t help when his district was redrawn to include more of Toth’s territory in Montgomery County.
As to this part, I was indeed incorrect on that count. The 2nd lost far more Montgomery County than it gained, but the parts it lost were not in Toth's district, while the parts it gained were. So that certainly didn't help Crenshaw I am sure.
@carramrod @thehoosierhuddle@carramrod No. He was more than conservative enough and Republican enough for any district in Texas. Look at his House voting record. He lost because Republican leadership abandoned him as he wasn't deemed sufficiently loyal to Trump. And the loyalty issue was a function of him calling out 2020 election denialism as bullshit.
Oddly enough the 2020 election stuff didn’t affect his primary in 2022 and 2024 only when he was redistricted.
Jesus. Moron. Shut the hell up.Please.
Trump wasn't president in 2022 and 2024. There was no loyalty/fealty requirement then.
I'm tired of your frequent emotional outbursts (I saw a "fuck you" to someone else today) and name-calling. You should stop posting until you're able to demonstrate some self-control.
@carramrod @thehoosierhuddle@carramrod No. He was more than conservative enough and Republican enough for any district in Texas. Look at his House voting record. He lost because Republican leadership abandoned him as he wasn't deemed sufficiently loyal to Trump. And the loyalty issue was a function of him calling out 2020 election denialism as bullshit.
Oddly enough the 2020 election stuff didn’t affect his primary in 2022 and 2024 only when he was redistricted.
Jesus. Moron. Shut the hell up.Please.
Trump wasn't president in 2022 and 2024. There was no loyalty/fealty requirement then.
I'm tired of your frequent emotional outbursts (I saw a "fuck you" to someone else today) and name-calling. You should stop posting until you're able to demonstrate some self-control.
Good grief
Talarico beats Crockett. Similar policy positions and radically different styles. Probably won't matter in the general.
https://twitter.com/seanmdav/status/2029365498685628440
Talarico beats Crockett. Similar policy positions and radically different styles. Probably won't matter in the general.
He's Beto version 2.0 but less skateboard, more Jesus...never know.
BTW what happened to Beto? That dude was being touted the next big thing, and then poof, he gone.
In other Texas election news looks like one of my favorite guntubers, Brandon Herrera, forced a runoff again with Tony Gonzales in the House race. Last time he lost to him by a few hundred votes. Seems like he may get him this time, since Gonzales has that "cheating with a staffer who committed suicide by self immolation" cloud following him...FFS.
https://twitter.com/jamestalarico/status/1258788884185518082
I'm tired of your frequent emotional outbursts (I saw a "fuck you" to someone else today) and name-calling. You should stop posting until you're able to demonstrate some self-control.
We really need an "eyeroll" reaction emoji
A good friend will bail you out of jail, but your best friend will be sitting next to you in the cell saying "that was f***ing awesome"
Crockett seemed to be blaming Republicans last night in her campaign gathering before a winner was declared. I don't understand how they would have had an impact on the Dem primary for senate Has anyone seen anything else she's said since it was officially called?
Hope is not optimism, which expects things to turn out well, but something rooted in the conviction that there is good worth working for. - Seamus Heaney, Irish poet and likely Hoosier basketball fan.
POTFB
Talarico beats Crockett. Similar policy positions and radically different styles. Probably won't matter in the general.
https://twitter.com/seanmdav/status/2029365498685628440
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