9-11 is the minimum B10 regular season record to get an at large, in my opinion.
Once that is established:
3 or more wins from either regular season, and/or BTT, and we'll get an at large. Even if its 1 regular season, and 2 BTT wins.
2 wins and I think it gets pretty dicey, and could get bumped from bid stealers.
1 win and we don't make it.
Assuming we win tomorrow a win on Sunday would 100% punch our ticket even with losses to Minny and OSU.
A loss to Minnesota at home has to more than negate the MSU win ???
Nothing like being squarely on the bubble in late February. A tradition unmatched, IU basketball.
Don't even bother. If that happens and IU loses in the BTT 1st Round to finish 19-13, there will be no NCAAT bid. If anyone disagrees, I have $100 ready for a wager. Put up or shut up.A loss to Minnesota at home has to more than negate the MSU win ???
10-10 in the B1G with wins over MSU, PU, at UCLA, and Wisconsin = lock city. Find me some other teams around the bubble who would push us out.
A loss to Minnesota at home has to more than negate the MSU win ???
It would be interesting. It would be a nice Q1 win and a not great Q2 loss (and Minn probably cements that with that win), so on paper not the end of the world.
I don't think we want to test it, though. It would also depend on how these games go. Definitely can't lose badly to them.
And then Northwestern happened. Trash.
Our chances are lower.
And now losses to NW and MSU. We gone
And nothing like being off the Bubble in early March.Nothing like being squarely on the bubble in late February.
@gthomas We're still on the bubble. Somehow with a chance to play ourselves on the right side of it with a couple wins. At this point, while I wouldn't really deem it a huge success... I just want to see their name on Selection Sunday again, damn it! So weak bubble, stumbling in the back door, don't really care. Get these last 2, and make the tourney... no matter the situation, the ramifications, its always more fun when IU makes it. And I really do think they'll make it if they figure out how to win these last 2 games. And many bracketologists seem to agree with that.
And I really do think they'll make it if they figure out how to win these last 2 games.
IF is the key word in that sentence. You're more optimistic than I am.
I suppose 10-10 + 1 BTT win could do it if there are no bid stealers or late movers. But I'm still stuck on the fact that IU has only two Q1 wins and often gets hammered by good opponents. Moreover, not all 10-10s are created equal; a .500 record with a recent home loss to NW and 2.5 blowouts (I consider MSU a semi-blowout) is bad news.@gthomas We're still on the bubble. Somehow with a chance to play ourselves on the right side of it with a couple wins. At this point, while I wouldn't really deem it a huge success... I just want to see their name on Selection Sunday again, damn it! So weak bubble, stumbling in the back door, don't really care. Get these last 2, and make the tourney... no matter the situation, the ramifications, its always more fun when IU makes it. And I really do think they'll make it if they figure out how to win these last 2 games. And many bracketologists seem to agree with that.
In any case, it seems most agree that both Minnesota and OSU are truly must wins. It's possible, but, given the last few weeks, I'm not optimistic. Minnesota is a tough out, and OSU is balling right now. Plus, IU has known for a while they're on the Bubble, yet they don't seem to play with do-or-die urgency. I know they're trying, but you can't just disappear when playing for your tourney lives.
And just to be clear, I'm not rooting for IU to miss the NCAAT. I'm just less confident than most, especially considering the last four games.
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