Posted by: @dbmhoosier

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Posted by: @ams66

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If you put any credence in prediction markets, Kalshi currently has Indiana at a 38% chance of making the round of 64, and the trend is down.

That's because almost everyone has us as a big underdog tomorrow...like 25% chance of victory.  If we somehow win those odds probably double and go up even more by winning a BTT game. 

 

They look to be an up and down team thought the last two wins have them on a bit of  an upward swing.  I think we actually won a Ohio State last year and Woodson was pumping his fist in the air like he had just won the national title. 

@surjay I haven't researched the Bubble teams too much, so I admit that's my blind spot. I do, though, understand why OSU is "ahead" of IU as it stands right now: 8 Q1/Q2 wins vs. IU's 5, and a winning conference record. Regarding the latter, it's tough to say how much stock the Committee will put in conference records given unbalanced schedules. Moreover, I don't know how they'll weigh point margins; the Hoosiers have been smacked by good competition on several occasions.

Anyhow, I think we can all agree the path to least resistance starts with an IU win tomorrow.

Posted by: @gthomas

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@surjay I haven't researched the Bubble teams too much, so I admit that's my blind spot. I do, though, understand why OSU is "ahead" of IU as it stands right now: 8 Q1/Q2 wins vs. IU's 5, and a winning conference record. Regarding the latter, it's tough to say how much stock the Committee will put in conference records given unbalanced schedules. Moreover, I don't know how they'll weigh point margins; the Hoosiers have been smacked by good competition on several occasions.

Anyhow, I think we can all agree the path to least resistance starts with an IU win tomorrow.

Yeah, I only mention OSU here to demonstrate what a comfortably in team looks like right now and its not super impressive. The teams we're battling all have mundane resumes.

We beat three or four teams with a pulse this year. Got smoked by the rest.